Inbox: How will Toronto deal with surplus at OF?

Beat reporters Keegan Matheson and Alexis Brudnicki answer questions from fans

October 28th, 2019

TORONTO -- The Blue Jays are a month removed from their 67-95 season, but with the World Series nearing its end, the next phase of their rebuild is about to begin.

Toronto’s needs are clear as they look to build around their young core, and there should be payroll flexibility in place to make that happen. Here are your questions about what comes next for the club:

With the current glut of outfielders that the [Blue Jays] have, will they still attempt to address the outfield situation. And [in doing] so, what does that mean for Teoscar, McKinney, Fisher?
-- Jemel J. (@JaysAndHeat13)

The Blue Jays’ approach to their outfield this winter could offer a window into just how aggressive they plan on being across the board.

The club could leave it untouched and enter 2020 with , , and as the regulars and with , , or others vying for a depth role. That wouldn’t be baseball’s greatest outfield, but there are options in place.

This isn’t a hard “need” in the same sense as starting pitching, where the Blue Jays need arms just to fill their rotation. It is, however, an area where Toronto can improve both offensively and defensively. Center field is worth watching, as the Blue Jays used seven different players at the position in 2019, a far cry from the defensive stability that Kevin Pillar brought.

The group of four to five outfielders currently projected to make the roster all have tools, but the Blue Jays could choose to rebrand one of their outfield spots with a different player type. Limiting strikeouts and maximizing contact needs to be a priority after Toronto finished 27th in MLB with a .305 on-base percentage. -- Keegan

Did any of the prospects in the Arizona Fall League significantly improve their stock?
-- Jamie B, Winnipeg, Manitoba

Two of the arms the Blue Jays sent to join the Scottsdale Scorpions in the Fall League were nearly unstoppable until their final outings. With Mike Ellenbest starting with 11 scoreless innings and Jackson Rees doing the same for his first 7 1/3 frames, both hurlers continued to open eyes along the way.

In Ellenbest’s final outing, he allowed two runs on two hits with three walks, recording one out, inflating his ERA to a still-impressive 1.59 mark. That came after the 25-year-old right-hander spent a season at Class A Advanced Dunedin, where he owned a 2.42 ERA over 22 games and 48 1/3 innings, and earned a three-game stint at Double-A New Hampshire.

“I had him in back-to-back seasons, and I would say that now being in the bullpen is really helping him,” said Cesar Martin, manager of the Scorpions and the 2019 Dunedin Blue Jays. “Throwing two or three innings has helped, because he used to be a starter, and now his [velocity] is up a little bit and he has a better idea of how to attack hitters when he’s just pitching two or three innings.”

Rees has been improving his stock all season, first with a 0.36 ERA at Class A Lansing over 14 games and 25 1/3 innings, and then with a 0.99 mark at Dunedin over 25 appearances and 36 1/3 frames. The 25-year-old right-hander started his Scorpions tenure with six scoreless outings before allowing three runs on four hits in his final game for Scottsdale. The undrafted free agent signing walked one and struck out 13 in his seven games.

“What he’s shown so far, he’s been impressing everybody,” Martin said. “Starting in [Lansing], finishing the season in [Dunedin], and then being here and dominating wherever he pitches. He’s creating his ceiling and pushing it higher and higher.” -- Alexis

Who do you think has the most potential to have the biggest impact in the Major Leagues next year for the [Blue Jays]: TJ Zeuch, Anthony Kay, Reese McGuire or Fisher?
-- James T.

has a real shot to surprise some people out of Spring Training. The Blue Jays have a crowded group of depth starters right now -- many around Kay’s age (24) -- but the lefty’s raw arm talent gives him an edge. His four-seam fastball averaged 93.4 mph over 14 innings in the Majors this season, which he complements with an above-average curveball and changeup.

If Kay can win a job out of camp, he should have a clear runway to pitch a full season after throwing 147 2/3 total innings in 2019. Life as a lefty in the American League East can be scary, but the coaching staff and front office both believe he can handle it.

could be close, too, but so much depends on playing time behind the plate. He was exceptional over 30 games in 2019, posting a 1.2 WAR per FanGraphs, and he should have every opportunity to push for a timeshare with , even if it’s a 60-40 split. The defensive metrics like McGuire, and the same can obviously be said for the Gold Glove Award nominee Jansen, so the Blue Jays could quietly rack up some serious value at catcher in 2020. -- Keegan

Having watched the Yankees and Red Sox hamming it up for the first London Series, is there any chance of the Blue Jays cashing in on the British connection and playing a series over here? There’s a huge Blue Jays fan base of ex-pats and people who’ve lived in Canada on a student/work visa now back in the UK and desperate to see the new generation of stars. Any chance?
-- Stuart P, Bristol, UK

There is certainly always a chance for baseball to capitalize on the commonwealth connection between Canada and the United Kingdom, though the television and sponsorship rights of an additional country might overcomplicate things.

With the next London Series set to play host to the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals in June 2020, it does appear that baseball tradition might also be a deciding factor in who will travel across the pond in the foreseeable future, as the longstanding franchises take turns at growing the game internationally. -- Alexis