Who might Marlins draft at 4?

June 3rd, 2019

MIAMI -- Infusing as much pitching depth as possible into the system was the first phase of the Marlins’ building plan, and there are plenty of quality arms up and down the organization. Step Two is prioritizing position players, and Miami is set up nicely to add impact hitters in the MLB Draft.

The 2019 Draft takes place tonight through Wednesday, beginning with tonight's Draft preview show on MLB Network and MLB.com at 6 ET. MLB Network will broadcast the first 41 picks (Round 1 and Competitive Balance Round A), while MLB.com will stream all 78 picks on Day 1. MLB.com will also provide live pick-by-pick coverage of Rounds 3-10 on Day 2, beginning with a preview show at 12:30 p.m. ET. Then, Rounds 11-40 can be heard live on MLB.com on Day 3, beginning at noon ET.

Go to MLB.com/Draft to see the Top 200 Prospects list, mock drafts from MLB Pipeline analysts Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo, the complete order of selection and more. And follow @MLBDraft on Twitter to see what Draft hopefuls, clubs and experts are saying.

Here’s how the Draft is shaping up for the Marlins, whose first selection is the fourth overall pick.

In about 50 words:
Top prospects
outfielder Monte Harrison and second baseman Isan Diaz are getting close to being big league ready, and outfielders Victor Victor Mesa and Victor Mesa Jr. were international signings in October. DJ Svihlik is in his first full season as the director of amateur scouting, and the Marlins aim to balance a pitching-heavy farm system with more hitters.

What they’re saying:
“We pick four, we pick 35 and 46, and our goal heading into the 2019 Draft is we want to get the most impactful pieces available to help our organization as we build towards championships. I think the biggest thing we’ve seen in the top part of the Draft is there seems to be a lot more college bats available, and not as much college, right-handed pitching. You normally have a lot of college, right-handed pitching. It’s not as deep, from what we can see.” -- Marlins president of baseball operations Michael Hill

Who they might take?
MLB Pipeline’s mock Drafts have consistently linked Vanderbilt University outfielder J.J. Bleday to Miami. Bleday topped college baseball in home runs. Marlins chief executive officer Derek Jeter was among a team contingent to watch Bleday in the SEC Tournament. Jeter and company also saw in person University of California-Berkeley first baseman Andrew Vaughn, a right-handed-hitting first baseman. Prep shortstop CJ Abrams, from Blessed Trinity Catholic High School (Ga.), Arizona State outfielder Hunter Bishop and prep outfielder Riley Greene, from Hagerty High in Oviedo, Fla., also are possibilities.

Money matters:
Under the Collective Bargaining Agreement, each team has an allotted bonus pool equal to the sum of the values of that club's selections in the first 10 rounds of the Draft. The more picks a team has, and the earlier it picks, the larger the pool. The signing bonuses for a team's selections in the first 10 rounds, plus any bonus greater than $125,000 for a player taken after the 10th round, will apply toward the bonus-pool total.

Any team going up to five percent over its allotted pool will be taxed at a 75-percent rate on the overage. A team that overspends by 5-10 percent gets a 75-percent tax plus the loss of a first-round pick. A team that goes 10-15 percent over its pool amount will be hit with a 100-percent penalty on the overage and the loss of a first- and second-round pick. Any overage of 15 percent or more gets a 100-percent tax plus the loss of first-round picks in the next two Drafts.

This year, the Marlins have a pool of $13,045,000 to spend in the first 10 rounds, including $6,664,000 to spend on their first selection.

Shopping list:
An organizational priority has been placed on athleticism and finding middle-of-the-field players. That again could be the case throughout the entire Draft, but with the No. 4 pick, Miami may go for need. That usually isn’t the case for most MLB clubs, but the lack of game-changing power in the Marlins' system is glaring, and there likely will be a power-hitting college hitter on the board when the Marlins are on the clock.

Trend watch:
Since taking former University of North Carolina third baseman Colin Moran (now with the Pirates) with the sixth overall pick in 2013, the Marlins have not selected a collegiate player in the first round. Unless Abrams or shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. falls to the fourth spot, the Marlins may break their prep-leaning trend and go with a college hitter. In fact, with the depth of bats in the Draft, Miami may lean towards collegiate players in the early rounds.

The recent Marlins top picks:
2018: Connor Scott, OF (Class A Clinton)
2017: Trevor Rogers, LHP (Class A Advanced Jupiter)
2016: Braxton Garrett, LHP (Class A Advanced Jupiter)
2015: Josh Naylor, 1B/OF (San Diego Padres)
2014: Tyler Kolek, RHP (Recovering from rib surgery)