Inbox: Robert in '19? Will Braves make deal?

November 15th, 2018

The Arizona Fall League championship game between the Peoria Javelinas and Salt River Rafters will feature plenty of notable prospects. Set for Saturday at 3 p.m. ET (1 p.m. local time) and broadcast live on MLB Network and MLB.com, the contest will include the two leading candidates for the league's Joe Black MVP Award -- Peoria second baseman Keston Hiura (Brewers) and Salt River first baseman Tyler Nevin (Rockies).
Hiura is one of four MLB Pipeline Top 100 Prospects in the game, along with Javelinas outfielder Cristian Pache (Braves) and a pair of Rafters, shortstop Carter Kieboom (Nationals) and right-hander Jon Duplantier (Diamondbacks). Hiura and Kieboom are two of seven former first-round picks who will compete for the championship, along with first baseman Braxton Davidson (Braves), outfielder Trent Grisham (Brewers), third baseman Hudson Potts (Padres) and first baseman Evan White (Mariners) on Peoria, plus first baseman Pavin Smith (Diamondbacks) on Salt River.

White Sox outfielder Luis Robert has been one of the most impressive position players in the Fall League, shaking off an early-season hamstring injury to stand out with his bat, power and well above-average speed. After signing him for $26 million in May 2017, Chicago thought he could move quickly, but he has played only 78 games in his first two Minor League seasons while dealing with knee, ankle and thumb maladies. Even if he continues to tear it up in Spring Training, it would be prudent to give him a little more time in Class A Advanced, but he should reach Double-A by season's end and could join the White Sox at some point in 2020.

I like Drew Waters' all-around potential, but if I were running the Braves, I would hate to trade Pache. I've spent close to three weeks in the Arizona Fall League and Pache has the most complete package of tools I've seen here. He's the best defensive outfielder in the Minors, has well above-average speed and a strong arm and should develop into a solid hitter with 20-homer potential.
That said, I wouldn't declare any player untouchable, especially if my team is ready to win like Atlanta is. Let's say the Marlins were willing to trade J.T. Realmuto for one of the Braves' endless supply of talented young pitchers, third baseman Austin Riley and Pache. I'd rather substitute Waters, but if Miami insisted on Pache, I'd still make the deal.

Gorman was the best power prospect in the 2018 Draft and shouldn't have lasted 19 picks, but the Cardinals smartly pounced when he did. He led all draftees with 17 homers in his first pro season while batting .291/.380/.570 between rookie league and low Class A.
Gorman struck out 76 times in 274 plate appearances and his OPS dropped to .706 in low Class A, so he still has adjustments to make as he faces more advanced pitching. I suspect he'll spend most, or all, of 2019 back in the Midwest League, but I could see him arriving in St. Louis by the end of '21.

Fellow Twins prospect Kirilloff led the Minors in doubles (44), extra-base hits (71) and total bases (296) this year after losing 2017 while recovering from Tommy John surgery, so that's a high bar to clear. Javier, a shortstop who signed for $4 million out of the Dominican Republic, missed all of this season after labrum surgery on his non-throwing shoulder in May.
While he may not match Kirilloff's monster 2018 season, Javier also has a high offensive ceiling and should rebound well. He's a pure hitter with plenty of raw power, and he posted an .855 OPS in the rookie league as a 17-year-old in 2017, so he should acquit himself well in low Class A next year.