Inbox: Is a six-man rotation possible for Twins?

Beat reporter Do-Hyoung Park answers fans' questions

July 2nd, 2020

MINNEAPOLIS -- The long wait is over. Ballplayers and coaches have arrived at Summer Camp sites around the country, and in Minneapolis, we'll get our second first look at the 2020 Minnesota Twins on Friday, when the team is expected to hold its first organized workouts at Target Field.

Much has changed since camp disbanded in Fort Myers, Fla., more than three months ago. These Twins are healthier and more complete than they would have been at the start of a normal regular season -- cause for both excitement and curiosity regarding how manager Rocco Baldelli will clear up some of the logjams on his pitching staff. There's still much we don't know and much to be learned about the new state of baseball when camp gets into full swing.

Sounds like a fantastic opportunity for our first Twins Inbox in a long time. Let's set the stage before Friday's reveal.

The Twins could absolutely use a six-man rotation, especially at the start of the season, as the new rules will allow each team to carry 30 players on its active roster for the first two weeks. That could be particularly significant because there's a good chance that some of Minnesota's starting pitchers might still be ramping up to a full workload at the end of the abbreviated three-week Summer Camp period, which could necessitate some creativity from Baldelli and pitching coach Wes Johnson in managing their starting staff.

For example, the Twins could quite feasibly open with an all-veteran starting group of José Berríos, Jake Odorizzi, Rich Hill, Kenta Maeda, Homer Bailey and Jhoulys Chacín -- and still have plenty of starting depth behind them in , , and . Alternately, with as many as 10 starters at their disposal, they could perhaps "piggyback" some of their starters in shorter stints, with two players throwing three or four innings apiece, as they did with Martín Pérez and Michael Pineda last April.

Once rosters consolidate, I would anticipate it would be in each team's best interest to throw its best arms as often as possible, which would actually incentivize smaller rotations. When the outcome of each game means more, you're going to want your best pitchers on the mound as often as possible -- and there's less of a reason to hold back on usage given that every starting pitcher should fall well short of his normal workload of 32 starts.

Probably not. In an ideal world in which everybody stays healthy, I would think the shortened season might work to their detriment. As I outlined above, the 60-game sprint will likely encourage teams to throw their most effective arms as often as possible, leaving little room for young starters like Dobnak, Smeltzer, Thorpe and Poppen to establish themselves in the rotation. In a normal season, all of those pitchers could have seen more prominent turns in the rotation due to the natural ebbs and flows of injuries over the course of 162 games.

In a less-fortunate scenario in which the Twins have to dig into their depth due to injuries or COVID-19 considerations, that could pose an opportunity for one or more of those young pitchers to temporarily join the rotation. But overall, there's probably more of a window for them as long relievers or swingmen this year, especially now that Hill is healthy enough to presumably take up another rotation spot that would otherwise have been available.

That's a really good question. I'd say the structure of the season itself would probably make that less likely. We all know the outcome of each game will carry a heightened significance, meaning you're going to want your guys to be both as fresh and as comfortable as possible. Seeing how Baldelli handled his player rotation last year, my thought is that a day off will still be a day off -- especially with and waiting in the wings -- instead of an opportunity for, say, Mitch Garver to play first base or for Luis Arraez to swing out to left field.

What I think you don't want is for guys to be playing out of position too often, because one or two errors or even mental lapses from inexperience could really influence the outcome of close games, and every win will matter given how bunched the teams will likely be in the season's final standings.

Again, that's the case in an ideal world. If, heaven forbid, we get into a scenario where one or more starters are on the injured list, there's a good argument to be made for pushing one or more established players on the roster somewhat out of position in the interest of keeping the lineup as potent as possible on a daily basis. In such a case, I could imagine this being a year in which González's ability to play both corner outfield positions and all four infield slots would be as important as ever.

I know there are fans out there who want the answer to be Alex Kirilloff or Trevor Larnach. Instead, I'm going to go with Travis Blankenhorn.

There are two primary reasons at play here. Significantly, Blankenhorn is already on the 40-man roster, since he was added during the offseason to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. It also plays in his favor that he can play both infield and outfield, as he was pushed into 24 games in left field last season. That versatility on the 40-man behind González and Adrianza could be important for the Twins in a pinch.

Others that I considered here: Nick Gordon and Brent Rooker.

Good eye for detail, and good question. Most of the performance escalators and incentives in Maeda's uniquely structured contract will simply be prorated to the length of the season (that is, dividing everything by 2.7). His contract offers $6.5 million in performance bonuses on a rising scale based on games started and $3.5 million in bonuses for innings pitched. The cash values and games/innings thresholds will all be prorated accordingly, according to a source with knowledge of the terms. That means that the $10 million in incentives will instead max out around $3.7 million.

was on track to be ready for action sometime around the original Opening Day following his recovery from left shoulder surgery, and by all indications, he hasn't had any setbacks. It's tough to put a "100 percent" marker on Hill as he rehabs from an offseason left elbow procedure because the Twins will need to evaluate the veteran lefty during Summer Camp, but the overall sentiment has been optimistic that he should be ready to go.