Nola, Wheeler have a chance to make Phillies history

March 6th, 2024

This story was excerpted from Todd Zolecki's Phillies Beat newsletter. To read the full newsletter, click here. And subscribe to get it regularly in your inbox.

CLEARWATER, Fla. -- Dave Dombrowski isn’t the first baseball executive to say that teams need good starting pitching to win.

But he did spend $298 million this offseason to make the point. He signed to a seven-year, $172 million contract on Nov. 19. He signed to a three-year, $126 million contract extension on Monday.

Those moves will keep Wheeler and Nola together through 2027.

“I remember when [Phillies managing partner] John Middleton called me originally about the job,” Dombrowski said Monday at BayCare Ballpark. “I was talking to a couple of people, and I said, ‘You look at different organizations where they are. You have to have a lot of good players in order to win. But if you don’t have good starting pitching, you're going to be in trouble.’ And I said, ‘It’s a really good place to start when you have people like Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola in your organization.’”

In their 141-year history, the Phillies haven’t had many starting-pitching duos like Wheeler and Nola. They certainly haven’t had many who pitched together for four consecutive seasons. Wheeler and Nola have a combined 32.3 WAR from 2020-23, according to Baseball Reference. (That number would have been higher if not for the pandemic-shortened 2020 season.)

Since the Divisional Era began in 1969, only two Phillies duos have pitched together for four consecutive seasons with better WAR:

• Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee, 41.5 WAR (2011-14)
• Roy Halladay and Hamels, 37.4 WAR (2010-13)

Steve Carlton never had a partner for four consecutive seasons. Before 1969, you have to look at duos like Jim Bunning and Chris Short, who had 51.8 WAR from 1964-67; Robin Roberts and Curt Simmons, who had 44.2 WAR from 1952-55; and Grover Cleveland Alexander and Erskine Mayer, who had 50.8 WAR from 1914-17.

If everything goes the way Philadelphia, Wheeler and Nola hope over the next four years, Wheeler and Nola should be regarded as the club’s greatest 1-2 combo in franchise history.

“You tip your cap to John Middleton, and how he wants to go out there and give us a great opportunity to compete and try to win a championship,” outfielder Kyle Schwarber said. “Obviously, Dave realizes what we have here and they keep adding onto it, they keep extending what we have going on. … Those two have been so dominant. You don’t run across arms that can go 190 innings, 200-plus innings. You just don’t see that anymore. That can be an extra 20-30 innings per guy that the bullpen doesn’t have to cover. It keeps the bullpen fresh. Those are huge things that you shouldn’t forget about. The way they’re able to go out there and take the ball consistently, give you innings with the stuff, it’s amazing.”