With no off-days, ATL 'pen to 'spread it out'

October 6th, 2020

ATLANTA -- Braves manager Brian Snitker will be repeatedly asked about his thin starting rotation in the coming days. But he says protecting the assets within his rock-solid bullpen is his primary concern entering this week’s National League Division Series against the Marlins.

With no off-days scheduled during this best-of-five NLDS, there’s reason to question who the Braves will turn to after likely using Max Fried, Ian Anderson and Kyle Wright as their starters in the first three games.

But Snitker is every bit as concerned about how to manage his bullpen with the understanding the team could end up playing five straight days.

“I think the bullpen is going to be a challenge, just trying to spread it out to keep guys available,” Snitker said.

Here are three questions examining how the Braves could navigate their pitching staff through the NLDS:

1) Which relievers will carry the load?
Closer Mark Melancon and setup man Shane Greene got a taste of what this next week might be like when they both made three consecutive appearances at Nationals Park from Sept. 10-12.

Without any off-days, Snitker might be forced to use some of his relievers over three straight days or at least four times over five days.

“Realistically, guys could go four out of five [days],” Snitker said. “It’s the playoffs. I probably wouldn’t like to do that, but we might have to do that.”

Melancon allowed three hits over his three scoreless innings during those back-to-back-to-back appearances in September. Two of the hits he surrendered were recorded during his third appearance. He hasn’t allowed a run in any of his seven appearances (including the Wild Card Series) this season on no rest.

Greene allowed one run and two hits over 2 2/3 innings while making his three straight appearances against Washington. Both hits and the run were also tallied in his third consecutive appearance. That was also the only run he surrendered across any of the five appearances made without rest.

Darren O’Day and Tyler Matzek haven’t pitched on back-to-back days this season, but Will Smith and Chris Martin have tasted recent success while pitching on consecutive days. Smith struck out five of his seven batters in the Wild Card Series. Martin also delivered a scoreless appearance on both Wednesday and Thursday against the Reds.

2) Who are the projected starters?
Though an official announcement hasn’t been made, the assumption is that Fried, Anderson and Wright will serve as the Braves’ first three starters, in that order. Huascar Ynoa, Bryse Wilson or Josh Tomlin are among the options to start the final two games of the series.

The Braves could go a number of different ways during those final games. In fact, Snitker said there’s a chance he would try to get through a game much like the Padres did on Friday night, when nine relievers combined to account for each of the nine innings that eliminated the Cardinals.

“I’d be very confident we could put something similar to that together,” Snitker said.

3) Is this new territory?
The Braves won 58.3% (35 of 60) of their games despite their starters pitching less than five innings in 61.6% (37 of 60) of those games.

Multiple times this year, the Braves have used A.J. Minter, Matzek, O’Day and others to bridge the gap through the end of the fifth or sixth innings. Digging into the bullpen early is not an approach the Braves could take on a daily basis through the NLDS. But they have shown that they have enough quality bullpen depth to compensate for short starts.