Fantasy411: Altuve over Trout in 2018 drafts?

October 20th, 2017

The following is a transcript of a segment from this week's Fantasy411 podcast, hosted by MLB.com lead fantasy writer Fred Zinkie and Al Melchior. To hear the rest of Zinkie and Melchior's discussion, subscribe to the Fantasy411 podcast by clicking here.
Fred Zinkie: I'm going to start at the top of all the postseason players in terms of fantasy, and that's . I know we agreed a few weeks ago that you couldn't take anyone over in a 2018 draft. Since then, Altuve has played better at the plate than he probably did in the regular season. He's probably going to win the AL MVP. He's batting .394 and has an OPS over 1.100. Any chance you'd take Altuve over Mike Trout next year?
Al Melchior: I just can't. We talked about not investing too much in a small sample, and generally these players are facing the best pitchers, which gives me a little pause for thought. But when I go back and look at the season, and [consider if] Trout had played as much as Altuve. Had they had a similar number of plates appearances, [Trout] would have beat [Altuve] pretty handily in homers, runs and RBIs, and it would have been a close one in stolen bases, so that just leaves batting average. I would give the edge to Altuve there, but it still wouldn't be enough for the No. 1 pick.
Zinkie: I figured you were going to say that, so I thought I would come up with a couple of scenarios to maybe muddy the waters. You are right about the categories, and even with Altuve hitting more for power as of late, Trout still beats him. Altuve hits in a better lineup, but that doesn't means that he'll compile more runs and RBIs. The one scenario I thought about was if you were in a three-outfielder league, and since Altuve is a second baseman, would you consider it just because of the shallow outfielder you could get in that format.
Melchior: No, that's a nice twist. I'm sorry I'm that predictable, but the outfield pool does look a little bit better to me now than it did in March. You really have to snap up the outfielders, since you have such a drop off in quality. Not so much in that third spot, but in terms of who I could get in the first spot, you have a drop off after the first 10 or so outfielders. I don't think you gain that much in position scarcity as opposed to second base. It helps Altuve's cause only a little bit.
Zinkie: One of the tried and true draft strategies, the more you draft, the more that first and second pick matter. Don't get too carried away. If it's an outfielder that's fine, a first baseman. Just get a real stud player you can build your team around. I will say, one other remarkable thing about Altuve is that he has never been on the disabled list, which is pretty cool. Trout obviously did. I'm not willing to label him as injury prone. That's another feather in Altuve's cap. Al, do you think his postseason and regular season is locking him up as a No. 2 pick?
Melchior: I think he should have been locked in there before the postseason. I agree with what you said. I'm trying to think of a scenario where it would make a difference. I think that for the vast majority of players.