Assessing Blue Jays' Top 10 prospects

June 8th, 2022

This story was excerpted from Keegan Matheson’s Blue Jays Beat newsletter. To read the full newsletter, click here. And subscribe to get it regularly in your inbox.

The Blue Jays’ farm system is still stacked at the top with potential stars, including four who rank within MLB Pipeline’s Top 100 list.

We don’t talk about this as often as we did in the Vlad & Bo years of 2018 and '19, because there are more important things happening at the Major League level, but this pipeline of talent gives the Blue Jays the luxury of options in the coming weeks and months.

Some, like No. 4 overall prospect Gabriel Moreno, could contribute to a postseason run this season. Later this week, we’ll bring you a deep dive on Moreno’s incredible journey from being a low-level signing to the jewel of the system.

Others, of course, will be featured in trade talks as the Aug. 2 deadline approaches. To get you refreshed on the top-10 group, here’s one thing that’s stood out to me for each through April and May:

1. C Gabriel Moreno
Moreno has thrown out 15 of 28 runners attempting to steal a base this season in Triple-A, good for a 54% success rate. That’s an exceptional number for the young star. We spend so much time focusing on his bat, and rightfully so, but Moreno continues to make strides defensively. This is why you’ll hear “perennial All-Star” thrown around.

“Having him behind the plate is so nice,” said teammate Jordan Groshans. “It eliminates the run game. He’s quick, he’s fast and he’s accurate.”

2. SS/3B Orelvis Martinez
Martinez’s 14 home runs lead the system as the 20-year-old grows into another level of power. Of course, he’s offset that some by striking out 52 times in 44 games, but that plate approach has looked better after being far more lopsided early in the year. Back in Spring Training, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. said that Martinez reminds him of a young Hanley Ramirez.

3. SS/3B Jordan Groshans
Groshans has put up a .418 on-base percentage with 16 walks compared to 14 strikeouts through his first 27 games in Triple-A, the result of an improved plate approach. Groshans has recognized the new challenge of Triple-A pitching, where veteran arms don’t always throw you a fastball in a 2-0 count, and it’s a challenge that has benefitted him. He’s still sitting on just one home run, but that power will come, especially with how well he’s seeing the ball through April and May.

4. LHP Ricky Tiedemann
This is the 2022 star of the system. After dominating in Single-A, the Blue Jays moved Tiedemann up to High-A where he’s allowed just one earned run over 14 2/3 innings (0.61 ERA) and struck out 19 batters. With a 13.9 K/9 rate, a 1.41 ERA across both levels and some of the nastiest stuff in the system, I don’t need to pick a number for you. Close your eyes, point to something on his stat sheet and it’s likely to be incredible.

5. SS/OF/SS Otto Lopez
Lopez’s .200 average through 27 games in Triple-A is a worrying start. Balls in play haven’t been kind to him this season, so some improved luck should help to correct this to a certain extent, but the Blue Jays would love to see the versatile 23-year-old get hot soon. If he does, there’s a few different paths to the MLB roster for him.

6. SS/2B Leo Jimenez
Jimenez’s average isn’t where it needs to be, at .229, but he’s managed to keep his on-base percentage at .354. That’s not quite the .523 OBP he pulled off over 59 games in ’21, but it’s a start. He’ll never be a slugger, but driving the ball with more consistency will be the key to unlocking Jimenez’s potential on top of his plus athleticism and defense.

7. RHP Sem Robberse
Robberse has walked just seven batters over 42 2/3 innings, good for a very tidy 1.5 BB/9 rate. He’s keeping the ball in the yard, too, which has left the Blue Jays encouraged by his start with a 2.11 ERA over eight outings with High-A Vancouver. Robberse is a candidate to jump up to Double-A New Hampshire later this summer.

8. RHP CJ Van Eyk
Van Eyk is working his way back from Tommy John surgery, but will be a top priority to track in 2023.

9. SS Manuel Beltre
In Beltre’s first at-bat Monday in the Florida Complex League, he homered. Beltre was up to 182 pounds in camp, a 13-pound gain from the season prior, and was making noticeably harder contact with an effortless swing. Watch for him to push for a jump to Single-A Dunedin later this season.

10. RHP Irv Carter
Carter is expected to pitch in the Florida Complex League to open ’22, where he’ll get his feet wet in pro ball. The 2021 fifth-rounder with an infectious personality likes to mix up his deliveries, too, like a Marcus Stroman or Johnny Cueto. With his size and athleticism, he’s a dream project for the pitching development staff.