Fantasy Daily Dish: April 12

Game-by-game breakdown of every MLB matchup

April 12th, 2021

As part of a new daily feature at, we'll be breaking down every matchup on the schedule to help give fantasy players an edge, whether it's in daily contests or season-long leagues.

The "Fantasy Daily Dish" will break down every starting pitcher on the slate, as well as all of the notable hitters in that particular game. We'll dive into all the specifics of a given matchup looking for everything from batters who thrive against certain pitch types to hot/cold streaks to platoon splits -- and everything in between.

Here's a full breakdown of Monday's games:

Red Sox (Pérez) at Twins (Happ), 2:10 p.m. ET

Red Sox SP: Martín Pérez
Key stat(s): 29.5 hard-hit percentage since 2019 (third-best in MLB)
2020 stats: 3-5, 4.50 ERA, 17.6 K%

Breakdown: Though Pérez has struggled over the last few seasons (4.96 ERA since 2019), he's actually limited hard contact better than almost any other pitcher during that span. Only Ryan Yarbrough (25.7%) and Kenta Maeda (28.7%) have better hard-hit percentages among pitchers to throw at least 500 pitches since '19. He also ranks third in average exit velocity in that span, though he's not going to miss many bats (15.0% career strikeout rate and just a 19.1% whiff rate since Statcast began tracking in '15).

Notable Twins hitters

Byron Buxton: Along with being off to a red-hot start at the plate this season, Buxton has teed off against cutters -- Pérez's most-used offering -- over the last few years, hitting .429 (12-for-28) with nearly as many home runs (five) as strikeouts (six) since 2019. That includes going 3-for-3 with a pair of homers against cutters this season.

Nelson Cruz: Like Buxton, Cruz has been a force at the plate this season. Unlike Buxton, however, the cutter has given Cruz some issues recently. Since 2019, he's just 13-for-61 (.213) with 17 strikeouts and a .393 slugging percentage against the pitch.

Twins SP: J.A. Happ
Key stat(s): 2.05 ERA vs. Red Sox since 2015
2020 stats: 2-2, 3.47 ERA, 21.4 K%

Breakdown: Happ has dominated the Red Sox throughout his career, particularly of late, going 10-1 with a 2.05 ERA in 18 starts against Boston since 2015. That includes putting up a 0.66 ERA (one earned run in 13 2/3 innings) last year. Current Red Sox players are hitting a combined .211 with a .601 OPS in 186 career plate appearances against Happ.

Notable Red Sox hitters

Xander Bogaerts: 8-for-47 (.170) with 10 strikeouts and zero homers lifetime vs. Happ.

Rafael Devers: 5-for-29 (.172) with six strikeouts lifetime vs. Happ.

J.D. Martinez: After a down year in the abbreviated 2020 campaign, Martinez has looked far more like the player who ranked fourth in hard-hit percentage from 2015-19. He ranks among the league leaders in barrel percentage, hard-hit percentage and average exit velocity this season -- and that was before his monster three-homer performance on Sunday.

Padres (Darvish) at Pirates (Cahill), 6:35 p.m. ET

Padres SP: Yu Darvish
Key stat(s): .095 opponents' batting average vs. slider last season
2020 stats: 8-3, 2.01 ERA, 31.3 K%

Breakdown: After a rocky Padres debut, Darvish looked more like himself his last time out, holding the Giants to one run off three hits over six innings. He gave up plenty of hard contact in his 2021 debut against the D-backs, but that's likely the exception, not the norm. Darvish had four different pitches account for a whiff rate of at least 30% last season: four-seamer (42.3%), slider (39.7%), curveball (31.2%) and cutter (30.6%). And that’s coming from a guy who has as many as 11 different pitches.

Notable Pirates hitters

Adam Frazier: 1-for-11 (.091) with four strikeouts in his career against Darvish.

Colin Moran: .892 OPS with a 6.5 HR% against right-handers since the start of last season (.681 OPS, 1.5 HR% vs. lefty); 1-for-9 (.111) with four strikeouts in his career against Darvish.

Pirates SP: Trevor Cahill
Key stat(s): Changeup is most-used pitch (29.8%)
2020 stats: 1-2, 3.24 ERA, 29.3 K%

Breakdown: Cahill was hit hard in his debut, allowing seven runs off nine hits over just innings of work against the Reds on Tuesday. Ten of the 16 balls put in play against Cahill had an exit velocity of at least 95 mph. He'll rely primarily on a three-pitch mix (sinker, curveball and changeup), while also mixing in a cutter and four-seamer. His changeup was actually his most-used pitch in 2020 (29.8%).

Notable Padres hitters

Eric Hosmer: Hosmer has gotten off to a fast start this season, ranking among the league leaders in hard-hit percentage -- though he's done nearly all of his damage against fastballs. He's 10-for-18 (.556) against fastballs (four-seam, two-seam, cutter and sinker), and just 1-for-13 against everything else.

Manny Machado: Machado's numbers may not be jumping off the page quite yet in 2021, but don't be fooled -- he's still crushing the baseball. His 99.4 mph average exit velocity is tops in the big leagues, while he also ranks among the league leaders in hard-hit percentage and barrel percentage. The homers will come.

Jake Cronenworth: Excels against the change, hitting .370 (10-for-27) against the offering -- with seven of his 10 hits going for extra bases.

Mariners (Sheffield) at Orioles (Kremer), 7:05 p.m. ET

Mariners SP: Justus Sheffield
Key stat(s): 46.9 hard-hit percentage since start of last season (fourth-highest in MLB, minimum 150 batted balls)
2020 stats: 4-3, 3.58 ERA, 20.7 K%

Breakdown: Sheffield allowed a lot of hard contact in 2019 and '20 -- and his '21 debut was no different. Half of the 18 balls the White Sox put in play against Sheffield had an exit velocity of at least 95 mph -- and the overall average exit velocity was a whopping 95.5 mph. Sheffield deploys a three-pitch mix, throwing his sinker for nearly half of his pitches, while using a slider and a changeup for the other half.

Notable Orioles hitters

Cedric Mullins: Mullins leads the Majors with 17 hits and he has at least one hit in all nine games, including a 5-for-5 performance on April 4.

Trey Mancini: Has homered in back-to-back games.

Orioles SP: Dean Kremer
Key stat(s): 96.9 mph average exit velocity in 2021 debut
2020 stats: 1-1, 4.82 ERA, 26.5 K%

Breakdown: Like Sheffield, Kremer was hit hard in his season debut against the Yankees. He allowed an average exit velocity of 96.9 mph on nine batted balls, though the two hardest-hit balls came off the bats of Giancarlo Stanton (116.3 mph) and Aaron Judge (109.9 mph) -- two of the most powerful sluggers in the sport. Still, he may not be as fortunate to allow only four hits (all singles) if that trend continues, and just as concerning, he walked four batters in just three innings of work.

Notable Mariners hitters

Dylan Moore: Though he's off to a slow start this season, Moore hit .333 with six home runs and a .693 slugging percentage against fastballs last season (Kremer threw fastballs on 65 of his 85 pitches in his lone 2021 outing).

Ty France: Hitting .324 with a .910 OPS this season; also hit .340 (17-for-50) against fastballs last season.

Yankees (Cole) at Blue Jays (Ray), 7:07 p.m. ET

Yankees SP: Gerrit Cole
Key stat(s): 36.7 K% since 2018 (best in MLB)
2020 stats: 7-3, 2.84 ERA, 32.6 K%

Breakdown: After taking a few weeks to settle into pitching in pinstripes, Cole has recorded a 1.14 ERA in six outings since the start of September. He's struck out 55 batters over 39 1/3 regular-season innings in that span -- and that doesn't even include his 30 strikeouts over just 18 1/3 innings in three postseason outings.

A look at all of Cole's strikeout pitches since the start of last season.

Notable Blue Jays hitters

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 114.1 mph single off Cole on Opening Day (highest exit velocity allowed by Cole on any base hit since 2015).

Bo Bichette: 0-for-9 with three strikeouts in his career vs. Cole.

Randal Grichuk: Grichuk has handled velocity well, going 11-for-29 (.379) with two homers against pitches 95 mph or faster since the start of last season, though he's just 3-for-17 (.176) with eight K's lifetime vs. Cole.

Rowdy Tellez: Not only is Tellez hitless so far this year (0-for-21), but he's 0-for-16 with six strikeouts against pitches of at least 95 mph since the starts of last season.

Blue Jays SP: Robbie Ray
Key stat(s): 47.3% whiff rate with breaking ball last season
2020 stats: 2-5, 6.62 ERA, 27.1 K%

Breakdown: Ray had plenty of issues last season -- he ranked in the bottom-10 percentiles in average exit velocity, hard-hit percentage, barrel percentage, walk percentage and xwOBA en route to finishing with a 6.62 ERA -- but he still missed bats. In fact, his 47.3% whiff rate on breaking balls since the start of last season ranks fifth among starting pitchers, trailing only Shane Bieber, Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow and Joe Musgrove. That said, while opponents had a 46.3% whiff rate specifically against his curveball, they also hit .474 against the offering.

Notable Yankees hitters

Aaron Judge: 99.8 mph average exit velocity (best in MLB).

Giancarlo Stanton: Has four of the seven hardest-hit balls this season, including the hardest (117.1 mph)

DJ LeMahieu: Hitting an MLB-best .335 since joining the Yankees in 2019.

Rangers (Dunning) at Rays (Glasnow), 7:10 p.m. ET

Rangers SP: Dane Dunning
Key stat(s): .152 combined opponents' batting average against his sinker and slider (63.8% of his pitches)
2020 stats: 2-0, 3.97 ERA, 24.7 K%

Breakdown: Dunning relied heavily on his sinker in his first outing, throwing it on 50 of his 70 pitches (71.4%). It was also his most used pitch last season, when he threw it 39.4% of the time. It's easy to see why he uses it so much, as opposing hitters are just 11-for-66 (.167) with 14 strikeouts against the offering.

Notable Rays hitters

Randy Arozarena: 7-for-16 (.438) with three home runs and a 1.063 slugging percentage vs. sinkers.

Yoshi Tsutsugo: 9-for-55 (.164) with 20 strikeouts in his career against sinkers and sliders.

Rays SP: Tyler Glasnow
Key stat(s): 49.1% whiff rate on breaking balls since start of last season (third-best among SP)
2020 stats: 5-1, 4.08 ERA, 38.2 K%

Breakdown: Glasnow has been one of the top strikeout pitchers in the Majors with the Rays. Since 2019, his 35.6 K% ranks third among pitchers with at least 130 innings, trailing only Gerrit Cole (38.2%) and Chris Sale (35.6%). The main reason was his curveball, against which hitters batted .120 with a 52.8% whiff rate last season. Now, Glasnow has added a slider -- a pitch that he's thrown 61 times this season, while using his curve only 18 times.

Notable Rangers hitters

Joey Gallo: Gallo is a .181 career hitter with a .403 slugging percentage and 45.4 K% against breaking balls (.597 SLG, 32.7 K% vs. fastballs).

Nate Lowe: After starting the season on a tear (.381, three homers and 14 RBIs in his first five games), Lowe has cooled off, going 0-for-13 over his last four games.

Phillies (Anderson) at Mets (Peterson), 7:10 p.m. ET

Phillies SP: Chase Anderson
Key stat(s): 16.2 barrel percentage last season (highest in MLB, minimum 100 batted balls)
2020 stats: 1-2, 7.22 ERA, 24.7 K%

Breakdown: Anderson was hit hard last season, allowing an MLB-high 16.2 barrel percentage -- and he served up a pair of barrels in his 2021 debut against this Mets club. He's going to use mostly a fastball-changeup approach, while occasionally mixing in a curveball. Along with allowing the highest barrel percentage last season, he also ranked in the eighth percentile or worse in xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and xERA.

Notable Mets hitters

Michael Conforto: 3-for-15 (.200) in his career against Anderson, though all three hits are home runs.

Pete Alonso: 98.1 mph average exit velocity this season (ranks fifth among players with at least 10 batted balls); hit a 114.2 mph double off Anderson in first meeting this season.

Francisco Lindor: Though Lindor is still looking for his first extra-base hit in a Mets uniform, his 41.2 hard-hit percentage is right in line with last season when he put up a career-best 41.1 hard-hit percentage. Those numbers could play well in this matchup, given Anderson's tendency to allow solid contact.

Mets SP: David Peterson
Key stat(s): .142 combined opponents' batting average vs. four-seamer and slider last season
2020 stats: 6-2, 3.44 ERA, 19.5 K%

Breakdown: Peterson allowed just 17 hits on 120 at-bats ending in either his four-seam fastball or slider last season. He served up six in only 15 at-bats ending in those pitches in his 2021 debut against the Phillies. Considering he throws those two pitches more than 60% of the time, he'll look to rediscover his '20 form in a rematch with Philadelphia.

Notable Phillies hitters

Rhys Hoskins: 4-for-5 with two homers and two doubles in his career vs. Peterson, including 3-for-3 with three hard-hit balls in the first meeting this season (105.8 mph double, 100.1 mph home run and 96.5 mph double).

Bryce Harper: Roped a 116.3 mph double off Peterson on Wednesday, marking the second-hardest hit ball of Harper's career (116.4 mph in 2019); career 1.021 OPS in March/April, more than 100 points higher than any other month.

J.T. Realmuto: 23 home runs and a .526 slugging percentage in at-bats ending in either a four-seamer or slider since joining Phils.

Marlins (Alcantara) at Braves (Ynoa), 7:20 p.m. ET

Marlins SP: Sandy Alcantara
Key stat(s): 36.6% whiff rate in first two starts
2020 stats: 3-2, 3.00 ERA, 22.7 K%

Breakdown: Alcantara has been electric through two starts this season, racking up 17 strikeouts in just 12 innings. His sinker is sitting at 97.2 mph -- a full mph faster than last season -- and his four-seamer is averaging 97.6 mph, also up from 96.9 mph in 2020. Meanwhile, his changeup -- a pitch that averages 91.6 mph -- had induced a 50.0% whiff rate this season, with opponents going just 1-for-11 with six strikeouts against the pitch.

Notable Braves hitters

Ronald Acuña Jr.: 0-for-8 with two walks and two strikeouts in his career against Alcantara.

Freddie Freeman: Leads MLB in batting average (.364) and slugging percentage (.643) against pitches 97 mph or faster since 2015.

Marcell Ozuna: 8-for-53 (.151) with one home run and 20 strikeouts against pitches 97 mph or faster since 2018, including 0-for-4 with four strikeouts this season.

Braves SP: Huascar Ynoa
Key stat(s): 50.0% whiff rate with slider this season
2020 stats: 0-0, 5.82 ERA, 17 K%

Breakdown: Ynoa has had his slider working in his first two appearances, as hitters have gone 0-for-10 with five strikeouts against the pitch. He's also induced a 50% whiff rate with the offering. That said, he's yet to force a swing and miss with either of his other two pitches (four-seam fastball and sinker). Hitters are 3-for-10 with a scorching average exit velocity of 104.9 mph against those offerings.

Notable Marlins hitters

Starling Marte: 3-for-17 (.176) over the last six games after going 7-for-10 over a two-game span from April 2-3.

Jesús Aguilar: 7-for-37 (.189) with zero home runs and eight strikeouts against fastballs since the start of last season.

Cubs (Alzolay) at Brewers (Peralta), 7:40 p.m. ET

Cubs SP: Adbert Alzolay
Key stat(s): .028 opponents' batting average vs. his breaking ball last season
2020 stats: 1-1, 2.95 ERA, 33.3 K%

Breakdown: After giving up only one hit on his breaking ball all of last season, Alzolay conceded three knocks -- including a home run -- on his breaking pitches in his 2021 debut. He also topped out at 94.7 mph in that outing, down from touching 97.2 mph in his final start last season, though that's likely just a result of ramping back up early in the season.

Notable Brewers hitters

Daniel Vogelbach: .308 (.20-for-65) with four home runs and a .523 slugging percentage against breaking balls since start of last season.

Christian Yelich: Left Sunday's game with back soreness; has reached base safely in eight of nine games this season.

Travis Shaw: Left Sunday's game after fouling a pitch off his right shin.

Brewers SP: Freddy Peralta
Key stat(s): 39.6 K% since start of last season
2020 stats: 3-1, 3.99 ERA, 37.6 K%

Breakdown: After pitching primarily out of the bullpen the last two seasons, Peralta is getting a shot in the rotation in 2021 -- and he struck out eight over five one-hit innings against this Cubs team in his first start. That should come as no surprise, as Peralta's 39.6 K% since 2020 is second only to Shane Bieber among pitchers with at least 30 innings of work. Peralta relies almost exclusively on two pitches -- a four-seamer that he throws more than 70% of the time and a curveball that has a ridiculous 51.6% whiff rate since the start of last season.

Notable Cubs hitters

Kris Bryant: 1-for-8 (.125) with four strikeouts in his career against Peralta.

Javier Báez: Homered in two of last three games, but has 15 strikeouts and a 52.1% whiff rate after posting a career-worst 37.8% whiff rate last season.

Anthony Rizzo: Perhaps due to his struggles last season (.222 BA, .755 OPS), Rizzo is seeing more pitches in the zone than ever (49.6% - up from his average of 44.6% from 2015-19). Still, he's hitting just .133 to this point, in part because of a 21.5% whiff percentage that would be the highest of his career.

Nationals (Fedde) at Cardinals (Gant), 7:45 p.m. ET

Nationals SP: Erick Fedde
Key stat(s): 12.3 K% since 2019 (lowest among pitchers with 100 IP)
2020 stats: 2-4, 4.29 ERA, 12.6 K%

Breakdown: Fedde isn't going to miss many bats, as evidenced by his MLB-low 12.3 K% since 2019. That's not a good sign, considering he's allowed a .293 career xBA and .487 career xSLG. That reared its head in his first start this season, when he allowed six runs (five earned) off six hits and three walks in just 1 2/3 innings against the Braves.

Notable Cardinals hitters

Nolan Arenado: Has reached safely in five of seven plate appearances against Fedde (three hits, including one homer, and two walks).

Paul Goldschmidt: 73.1 hard-hit percentage (second in MLB) and 96.1 mph average exit velocity (ninth) this season.

Cardinals SP: John Gant
Key stat(s): 3.2 barrel percentage since 2019 (fourth-best in MLB)
2020 stats: 0-3, 2.40 ERA, 29.5 K%

Breakdown: Gant has returned to the starting rotation after spending the last two years pitching exclusively out of the bullpen. With that in mind, it's worth noting that the average velocity on his four-seam fastball (91.2 mph) and sinker (90.5 mph) was approximately 3 mph slower than it was last season (94.0 mph and 93.9 mph, respectively). Gant allowed three of his four hits in his 2021 debut off his sinker, by far his most-used pitch -- and one against which hitters were just 4-for-22 (.182) last season.

Notable Nationals hitters

Juan Soto: .368 career average with nine home runs and a .719 slugging percentage against sinkers.

Trea Turner: 18-for-47 (.383) with six home runs and zero strikeouts against sinkers since the start of last season; he's the only player in MLB with at least 50 homers and 120 stolen bases since 2017.

Tigers (Mize) at Astros (Greinke), 8:10 p.m. ET

Tigers SP: Casey Mize
Key stat(s): 96.0 mph average four-seam fastball velocity
2020 stats: 0-3, 6.99 ERA, 19.6 K%

Breakdown: Mize pitched well in his 2021 debut (one run, four strikeouts over four innings vs. the Twins), though he induced only five whiffs on 40 swings. That 12.5% whiff rate is about half what it was last year, so expect it to even out as the season goes on. The key to watch here will be Mize's four-seam fastball velocity, which averaged 96.0 mph in his first start -- a substantial increase from 93.6 mph last season.

Notable Astros hitters

Jose Altuve: Ranks in 92nd percentile or better in xBA and xwOBA after finishing in the 12th percentile in xwOBA and 27th percentile in xBA last season.

Carlos Correa: .219 average with only one homer and 38 strikeouts in his career against pitches 96 mph or faster.

Alex Bregman: Has three barrels on 24 batted balls this season (12.5%) after recording only five barrels on 128 batted balls (3.9%) all of last year.

Yuli Gurriel: 59.3 hard-hit percentage (15th in MLB).

Astros SP: Zack Greinke
Key stat(s): .143 opponents' BA vs. changeup since 2020
2020 stats: 3-3, 4.03 ERA, 24.5 K%

Breakdown: Greinke hasn't been missing many bats this season (16.0% whiff rate, 17.8 K%), but he's walked only one batter and has a 1.38 ERA through two starts against a pair of solid offenses in the A's and Angels. While Greinke's fastball is averaging only 88.5 mph these days, he still stifles hitters with his changeup -- which checks in just slightly slower at 86.8 mph. Opposing hitters are 12-for-84 (.143) with 34 strikeouts and just two home runs against Greinke's changeup since the start of last season.

Notable Tigers hitters

Wilson Ramos: 78.6 hard-hit percentage (best in MLB among players with at least 10 batted balls).

Miguel Cabrera: Placed on injured list Sunday (left biceps strain).

Angels (Cobb) at Royals (Singer), 8:10 p.m. ET

Angels SP: Alex Cobb
Key stat(s): Six K's with splitter in 2021 debut
2020 stats: 2-5, 4.3 ERA, 16.8 K%

Breakdown: Cobb racked up six strikeouts and forced a 46.2% whiff rate with his splitter in his season debut against the White Sox. The pitch also worked for him last season when opposing batters hit just .181 and put up a 36.2% whiff rate against the pitch. The problem for Cobb is with his most-used pitch -- his sinker. Opponents hit .353 last season against his sinker, which he threw 47.5% of the time -- and the White Sox went 4-for-8 against the offering in Cobb's first outing.

Notable Royals hitters

Salvador Perez: Ranks in 90th percentile or better in barrel percentage and hard-hit percentage this season; has drawn as many walks (three) in six games this year as last season (37 games).

Whit Merrifield: .375 career hitter with 11 homers and a .647 slugging percentage against sinkers.

Royals SP: Brady Singer
Key stat(s): Throws sinker on 57.0% of pitches (most in MLB since 2020)
2020 stats: 4-5, 4.06 ERA, 23.2 K%

Breakdown: Singer relied almost entirely on two pitches last season -- his sinker (57.1%) and slider (37.4%). Though he still threw the sinker on 54.5% of his pitches in his 2021 debut, he also worked in 10 changeups (13.0%), a pitch he threw only 4.7% of the time last year.

Notable Angels hitters

Shohei Ohtani: Seven barrels (tied for second in MLB) and 30.4 barrel percentage (third).

Anthony Rendon: Has crushed sinkers over the last few years, hitting .436 (72-for-165) with 14 home runs and an .812 slugging percentage against the pitch since 2019.

Mike Trout: Hitting .403 with nine homers and a .698 slugging percentage against sinkers since 2018; ranks in the top 5 in hard-hit percentage and barrel percentage this season.

Jared Walsh: 10-for-26 (.385) with three homers and a 1.274 OPS this season; also hits the sinker well, hitting .400 (10-for-25) with three homers and only two strikeouts vs. sinkers since start of last season.

Indians (McKenzie) at White Sox (Keuchel), 8:10 p.m. ET

Indians SP: Triston McKenzie
Key stat(s): 40.5% whiff rate with breaking balls last season
2020 stats: 2-1, 3.24 ERA, 33.1 K%

Breakdown: McKenzie flashed elite breaking stuff last season, holding opponents to a .130 average against his slider (44.2% whiff rate) and an .077 average against his curveball (34.4% whiff rate). That was still evident in his 2021 debut, when he struck out five and allowed only two hits over 3 2/3 innings in a relief outing. He struggled with his command a bit, walking four of the 16 batters he faced.

Notable White Sox hitters

Yermín Mercedes: After racking up 15 hits in his first six games this season, Mercedes showed some plate discipline by drawing three walks on Sunday to raise his on-base percentage to .594. He's Hitting .536 (15-for-28) with a 1.451 OPS and five extra-base hits (two homers) in seven games.

Luis Robert: Eight home runs off breaking balls since start of last season (tied for most in MLB).

José Abreu: 169 strikeouts against breaking balls since 2018, third-most in MLB. Only Nick Castellanos (187) and Javier Báez (182) have more K's.

White Sox SP: Dallas Keuchel
Key stat(s): 16.7 K%, 11.9 BB% through two starts this season
2020 stats:
6-2, 1.99 ERA, 16.3 K%

Notable Indians hitters

José Ramírez: Hitting .365 with a 1.251 OPS and 9.3 HR% against left-handers since start of last season (.266, .874 OPS, 5.6 HR% vs. RHP); 6-for-14 (.429) with four doubles in his career vs. Keuchel.

Athletics (Bassitt) at D-backs (Bumgarner), 9:40 p.m. ET

A's SP: Chris Bassitt
Key stat(s): Threw fastballs on 77.7% of pitches last season
2020 stats: 5-2, 2.29 ERA, 21.1 K%

Breakdown: Bassitt attacks hitters primarily using a trio of fastballs -- his sinker, four-seamer and cutter. He also mixes in a changeup approximately 10% of the time, and while he does have a breaking ball in his arsenal, that accounts for just 10% of his pitches.

Notable D-backs hitters

David Peralta: Hitting .300 with a .515 slugging percentage and .872 OPS against right-handers since 2018 (.245 BA, .382 SLG, .687 OPS vs. LHP).

Eduardo Escobar: 19.2 barrel percentage (seventh in NL).

Christian Walker: 7-for-18 (.389) against fastballs this season (0-for-20 against all other pitches).

D-backs SP: Madison Bumgarner
Key stat(s): 53.1 hard-hit percentage this season
2020 stats: 1-4, 6.48 ERA, 15.8 K%

Breakdown: Though Bumgarner's velocity has gone up a tick from last year (90.0 mph average four-seamer this season compared to 88.4 mph in 2020), he's been getting hit -- and hit hard -- this season. He's allowing an average exit velocity of 93.4 mph, with 17 of the 32 batted balls he's allowed coming off the bat with an exit velocity of at least 95 mph. Put it all together and he's allowed 11 runs off 15 hits, five walks and two hit batsmen in just nine innings of work this season.

Reds (Miley) at Giants (Sanchez), 9:45 p.m. ET

Reds SP: Wade Miley
Key stat(s): 78.8 mph average exit velocity allowed in 2021 debut
2020 stats: 0-3, 5.65 ERA, 17.9 K%

Breakdown: Miley was fantastic in his season debut, holding the Pirates to just two hits over six scoreless innings. He did so by limiting hard contact, and while his 78.8 mph average exit velocity isn't going to last, he has done well at inducing soft contact in a limited sample with the Reds. Though he had a 5.65 ERA in just 14 1/3 innings last season, Miley had an 83.3 mph average exit velocity. Since joining the Reds, his 81.9 mph average exit velocity is best among starting pitchers with at least 50 batters faced.

Notable Giants hitters

Buster Posey: 10-for-26 (.385) in his career against Miley, though they've face one another just twice since 2015 -- and not at all since '19.

Evan Longoria: Ranks in the 90th percentile or better in barrel percentage, chase rate and xSLG.

Mike Yastrzemski: 81.2 mph average exit velocity this season (down from 88.2 mph in 2020 and 89.6 mph in '19); hard-hit percentage is also down (25.0% in '21, 42.3% in '20, 42.9% in '19).

Giants SP: Aaron Sanchez
Key stat(s): 2021 debut was first start since Aug. 20, 2019
2020 stats: N/A (0-0, 1.80 ERA, 20.0 K% in first start this season)

Breakdown: Sanchez missed the entire 2020 season after undergoing right shoulder surgery, but he flashed his upside in his season debut Tuesday against the Padres. He pitched five innings of one-run ball, though it's worth noting that his velocity began to dip toward the end of his 74-pitch outing. He'll likely be handled carefully moving forward, with the Giants monitoring his workload after his long journey back.

Notable Reds hitters

Tyler Naquin: 78.3 hard-hit percentage (leads MLB) and 97.7 mph average exit velocity (fourth in MLB).

Nick Castellanos: Free-swinging slugger ranks in the 97th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG and xwOBA this season, though his 43.3 chase percentage puts him in the third percentile and his 61% swing rate ranks among the highest in the league.