Inbox: Can Crow-Armstrong crack the Top 10 prospect ranks?

April 5th, 2023

There’s so much baseball happening, and about to happen, it’s hard to contain our excitement. Major League Baseball and Triple-A started last week; the rest of the Minors get going this week. What’s a prospect fan to do?

Answer your questions, of course!

Can you see PCA becoming a top 10 prospect by the time you guys update the rankings by All-Star break? -- @miami_or_nothin

We answered this one on this week’s MLB Pipeline podcast, so be sure to check out how we broke it down. PCA, for the uninitiated, is , currently the Cubs’ No. 1 prospect and No. 28 on our Top 100. He’s coming off a year that saw him hit .312/.376/.520 with 46 extra-base hits and 26 steals in 101 games across two levels of A ball. He’s also the best defensive center fielder in the Minor Leagues.

The short answer to this question is yes, we certainly could see him reach the top 10 by the time we do a full update of the rankings (Please note that we won’t do a full update by the All-Star break. That comes after the Trade Deadline). He has the tools to reach that level, especially if his newfound power continues to come, and even just by guys graduating ahead of him, he’s going to move up.

There are two questions we don’t know the answers yet to: 1. Who will be added to the top of the list, namely from the 2023 Draft class? 2. How will PCA handle the move to Double-A. We’re all bullish on his ability, and I think he’s going to make the necessary adjustments, but it was noted on the pod that he lost his approach in the move to High-A last year, with a lot more swing-and-miss to his game. All that being said, count me as one person who thinks he’s going to figure it out and land at least in the top 10 conversation when we re-rank.

Of the Pirates' two interesting 2021 HS draftee starters (Bubba Chandler and Anthony Solometo) who gets to the Majors first and who's more likely to stay as a starter? -- @ballsandgutters

When the Pirates were able to save money in signing Henry Davis as the No. 1 overall pick in the Draft, they were able to use that bonus pool cash to go after some high-end high school guys later on. They took Solometo in the second round and gave him $2.8 million while Chandler got $3 million in Round 3. Both will be a part of High-A Greensboro’s rotation out of the gate here in 2023.

Solometo is a lefty with a funky delivery who knows how to pitch and commands the baseball well, using deception to help all of his solid stuff play up. Chandler was a multi-sport star in high school, one who could have played quarterback in college, and a two-way guy who got to swing the bat some even during the start of his pro career. But he’s now going to be a pitcher only.

We have Chandler ranked at No. 7 and Solometo at No. 10, so there’s not that much separating the two of them, but enough to tell you that Chandler has a higher ceiling. It’s easy to envision him really taking off and taking a leap forward now that he’s focusing all of his efforts on the mound. I think in a perfect world, they’ll keep developing together and pushing each other up the ladder, so it might be a coin flip who gets to Pittsburgh first. And I think both will end up as starters, but Chandler has a better chance to sit higher up in a big league rotation.

Which prospects in the upcoming MLB Draft do you believe will make their MLB debut next year? --@StevieDAles97

This is a question we often get, and often talk about: Which Draft prospect will be the first to make it to the big leagues? So I thought, why not answer it now, three-plus months ahead of the 2023 Draft.

Making a prediction about this is nearly impossible -- I doubt anyone had 11th-rounder (Angels) as the first to make it to the big leagues from the 2021 Draft class -- but there are some good options among some very good prospects this year. While there could be a reliever somewhere who buzzes through, the usual rule of thumb is to go with a college hitter. And there are a few who could move very quickly, starting with . He was No. 1 on our Draft Top 100 list in December and is hitting a ridiculous .531/.659/.927 through his first 29 games with LSU this year. has missed some time with injury, but is he hitting .402/.552/.890 at Florida. Grand Canyon’s doesn’t have as high of a ceiling, but he is hitting .465/.504/.703 and has struck out just 12 times in 2022 and 2023 combined while really being able to play shortstop.

On the mound, it’s hard to imagine LSU’s needing too much time to be ready to get big league hitters out. Tennessee’s hasn’t been quite as dominant as Skenes, but he also has that quick-to-the-bigs potential. Stephen Strasburg made 10 Minor League starts in 2010 before getting called up, and that’s the bar to reach. That might be too high, so if I had to pick one, I’d go with Crews.

How does Felnin Celesten rank against other top prospects from years past? -- @antman_92

Celesten is currently No. 5 on the Mariners’ Top 30 and he was No. 2 on the Top 50 international prospects list when the signing period opened in January. The Mariners paid him accordingly, giving him $4.7 million to join the organization and to say the organization is excited to see him get going in the Dominican Summer League is an understatement. In most other years, Celesten would have been No. 1 on an international rankings list, with as much upside as any shortstop in years. He probably would come in behind Wander Franco if we were to really try to stack this up over the past several years and the Giants and Mariners would have a hot debate over Celesten vs. Marco Luciano at signing age. But he’s in that conversation for sure.