Three good bets for Friday's packed LDS slate

October 13th, 2022

This article was contributed by DraftKings. For more sports betting insights, check out DraftKings Playbook.

After the Guardians and Yankees were rained out on Thursday, Friday will now feature three Division Series games instead of the originally scheduled two. This article will feature three bets you can place on DraftKings Sportsbook while you watch along all throughout Friday.

Guardians at Yankees
The wager: Yankees Moneyline
Line: -135 (bet $100 to win $74)
This is going to be a very tough spot for the Guardians against lefty Nestor Cortes. Their biggest weakness is facing quality left-handed pitching. During the regular season, Cleveland slashed just .239/.303/.343 with an 84 wRC+ against lefties. In two starts against the Guardians, Cortes held them to just three runs on four hits while striking out 14 through 12 1/3 innings. Averaging more than one strikeout per inning against the Guardians is also quite impressive, seeing as they were one of the toughest teams to strike out despite their inability to hit lefties consistently. On the year, the Guardians had a 19.5 percent strikeout rate against lefties, which ranked fifth best in the Majors. Only the Padres, Blue Jays, Cardinals and Astros had a lower K percentage. With the Yankees boasting a solid 19-9 record when Cortes takes the mound, this feels like a great spot to take the Yankees in Game 2.

Dodgers at Padres
The wager: Padres Moneyline
Line: +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
I’m backing the Padres to take the lead in this National League Division Series against the Dodgers and Tony Gonsolin. It was rather peculiar that the Dodgers announced that Gonsolin would take the mound, seeing as he went only two innings in his return to the rotation on Oct. 3. Manager Dave Roberts explained that Gonsolin has pitched extended innings in simulated games since then, and the team is confident about his length and how he’s throwing the ball. Nonetheless, it seems unlikely he’ll go more than four innings in this matchup. Both NLDS starters for the Dodgers have pitched just five innings, leaving the bullpen to pick up the slack.

As for the Padres, it felt like Blake Snell had two completely different seasons. After a very tough first half, he posted a 2.19 ERA and a .259 wOBA over 78 innings in the second. In one of his final starts, he blanked the Dodgers through five innings while striking out six. It seems as if the Padres are getting hot at the right time, as this offense has scored eight runs over the first two NLDS games. If I’m choosing between the Dodgers' bullpen (with the assumption Gonsolin goes no more than four innings) or Snell, I’m taking the underdog at +105, especially with this series shifting to San Diego. As an underdog this season, the Padres were 27-26 on the moneyline.

Dodgers at Padres
The wager: Trea Turner over 1.5 bases
Line: +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
One of the best hitters not just in the regular season but the postseason, Turner at plus money to collect at least two bases is a play I love. He has gone over this number in both NLDS games and can make it three in a row at +130. Combining the regular season and the postseason, Turner has cashed over 1.5 bases in 85 of the 162 games that he has played, good for 52 percent of this season.

It doesn’t matter who is on the mound, a righty or lefty, as Turner has nearly identical numbers against them. He ended the regular season with a .298 batting average against both. Despite logging only 168 at-bats against lefties, Turner still hit 10 home runs against them, compared to 11 against righties in 484 at-bats. Against someone like Snell, who has had problems with home runs in the past, Turner easily has the power to put one over the fence and cash this bet. For what it's worth, Turner hit .325 at Petco Park this season with three doubles, one triple and one home run through nine games and 40 at-bats.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600 (ONT), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).

21+ (18+ NH/WY; 19+ ONT). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/ONT/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Please play responsibly.