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Tuesday features quite a few appealing underdog betting options on DraftKings Sportsbook. We’ll look at some of those while assessing the full night slate.

Follow along on Twitter (@Nick_Friar) for updates.

Pirates at Nationals
The wager: Pirates moneyline
Line: +105 (bet $100 to win $105)

Doesn’t matter who it is, any underdog facing Patrick Corbin has to be considered as a viable play. Hitters have generated a 43.1% hard-contact rate against the left-hander this month, which manifested into a .437 wOBA. Yet, Corbin’s 6.23 FIP indicates things could be worse than his 5.59 June ERA conveys. The Pirates have a 34.2% hard-contact rate against left-handed pitching over the last two weeks, but they have one of the three lowest BABIPs against lefties during that stretch. Corbin could easily help provide some positive regression.

Furthermore, José Quintana tends to keep the Pirates in games. Pittsburgh hasn’t lost any of his 2022 starts by more than two runs. Given the Nationals’ numbers against lefties have been regressing in the second half of this month, this is a spot where Quintana can finally earn his second win of the season.

Red Sox at Blue Jays
The wager: Red Sox moneyline
Line: +120 (bet $100 to win $120)

Boston’s seven-game winning streak came to a screeching halt on Monday. But, it’s not like that stretch was an anomaly. The Red Sox have lost five games this month. While that level of play isn’t sustainable, even a cooled-off Boston lineup is enough in a matchup between Michael Wacha and Ross Stripling.

Wacha sits at 6-1 through 12 starts. More importantly, the Red Sox are 9-3 with him on the mound. He’s navigated close contests, and Boston has also provided him with some serious offense at times, too. Wacha has largely limited hard contact, especially against right-handed hitters -- something Toronto has no shortage of. Specifically, righty bats have a 46.6% ground-ball rate and just a 25.2% hard-contact rate against Wacha. And as tough as this Blue Jays offense is, we saw him successfully navigate through a meeting with them earlier in 2022.

As for Stripling, he’s been great in his return to the starting rotation. Outside of a hiccup vs. the Yankees, he’s only given up one run this month. But when you speak of things that simply aren’t sustainable, this run is a prime example. Unlike Wacha, Stripling has given up a lot of hard contact to right-handed hitters (39.1%) in June. Not a good sign for Toronto when you also consider several of Boston’s right-handed bats have experienced success against Stripling.

Rays vs. Brewers
The wager: Shane Baz over 5.5 strikeouts
Line: +105 (bet $100 to win $105)

Young right-hander Baz has been sharp in the two starts that followed his rough return to the Majors. In his last 10 2/3 innings, Baz has punched out 13 hitters and hit the over on Tuesday’s prop twice. His recent six-strikeout performance came against a Yankees lineup that hasn’t been striking out much against right-handed pitching this month -- unlike the Brewers. Milwaukee has the sixth-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this month. Their 23.8% mark is actually quite a bit lower than their season-long mark against righties (23.7%), which is the seventh-highest in baseball.

Additionally, when looking at overall production, Milwaukee has been a middling lineup against right-handed pitching in June. So while Baz is still dealing with a pitch count around 75-80, his outing should have more than enough length for the right-hander to go over this mark.

Astros at Mets
The wager: Astros moneyline
Line: -120 (bet $120 to win $100)

Things didn’t exactly go swimmingly for Carlos Carrasco in his recent meeting vs. the Astros. Unfortunately for the Mets, that’s been a trend for the right-hander. He’s given up five runs in two of his last three starts. The one he didn’t, he somehow let only eight hits and two walks turn into three runs over 6 1/3 innings. Point is: He’s been playing with fire lately, and that’s not ideal when facing a lineup ranked among the top 10 in ISO and wOBA against right-handed pitching this month.

The Mets also haven’t been hitting to the level they did in the first two months of the season. Specifically against left-handers in June, the Mets rank among the bottom 10 in ISO, wOBA and hard-contact rate. With Framber Valdez on the mound, New York isn’t in a spot to turn things around on Tuesday.

Orioles at Mariners
The wager: Orioles moneyline
Line: +140 (bet $100 to win $140)

Asking the Orioles to win back-to-back games might seem like a lot, but they’ve been very good in June. Most of that recent success has come since the month’s midway point, posting an 8-4 record since June 15.

Two of those eight wins have come with Dean Kremer on the bump, and Baltimore is 3-1 in the right-hander’s four starts this season (all of which have come in June). While he’s not going to strike out a ton of hitters, Kremer won’t give up much quality contact. Hitters only have a 28.8% hard-contact rate and 16.7% line-drive rate against him. They still have a .308 BABIP against Kremer, but that indicates the success he’s experiencing isn’t a fluke -- as much as maintaining a 1.71 ERA isn’t likely.

Even if Kremer pitches to his 3.27 FIP, that should be enough for Baltimore’s offense. The Orioles have been one of the toughest teams for left-handed pitchers to handle this month. They rank among the top four in ISO, wOBA and hard-contact rate against lefties in June. This strong stretch started with a meeting against Robbie Ray, who’s thrown well in each of his last three starts. Given Ray’s up-and-down nature this season, and the fact several players in Baltimore’s lineup have had success against him beyond that June 1 meeting, the Orioles are in position to secure another series win on Tuesday.

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