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If you’re watching baseball on AppleTV+ tonight, you’re spoiled with two good games. The first game kicks off in Boston with the Orioles in town, followed up by the Angels hosting the Blue Jays. Let’s go over some bets you can consider sweating along while you watch.

As always, you can follow me on Twitter for more betting content @SBuchanan24.

Orioles at Red Sox
The wager: Red Sox run line -1.5
Line: +105 (bet $100 to win $105)

Getting this at plus money makes it more enticing. The surging Red Sox come back home to Fenway Park after dropping 16 runs on the White Sox on Thursday. This offense has suddenly come alive and has seen them go 7-3 on the run line over the last 10 games. What’s been the key to success to post that record? Well, when you’re winning games by an average of 5.5 runs over that span, that certainly is enough to cover the 1.5 line necessary to win this bet. To further state just how good the Red Sox's offense has been, they currently rank second in the league in runs scored this month with 131, while slashing .283/.348/.477.

As for the Orioles, they have not found much success on the road as an offense. Hitting away from Camden Yards, they’re slashing just .213/.279/.332, all of which rank near the bottom of the league. The 66 runs scored on the road also rank as one of the worst marks, and are only better than the Pirates, Rockies and Tigers. All of this, coupled with Garrett Whitlock taking the mound for the Red Sox, has me on the -1.5 run line for the home team.

Orioles at Red Sox
The wager: J.D. Martinez over 1.5 bases
Line: -115 (bet $100 to win $87)

One of the reasons the Red Sox have been hitting so well is because of Martinez. I mean, look at these numbers through 21 games in May! Martinez enters tonight hitting .443/.485/.671 with 39 hits, which include eight doubles and four home runs. He’s played 21 games this month and has gone over 1.5 bases an absurd 15 times. FIFTEEN! Twelve of those times were from collecting at least two hits in a game, which is something he’s done in four of his last five games.

Taking the mound for the Orioles is right-hander Kyle Bradish. He’s thrown just 26 2/3 innings through five starts, and home runs have quickly become an issue for him. Bradish enters this game with a 2.03 HR/9, due to giving up six home runs. All those homers have come against right-handed bats, who have also tagged him with a .478 wOBA. While Bradish does have the ability to strike out opposing hitters, 39.7% of balls in play are fly balls. At Fenway Park, that’s usually not a good stat to own.

Blue Jays at Angels
The wager: Game total under 8 runs
Line: -115 (bet $100 to win $87)

The Blue Jays' lineup garnered some massive hype over the offseason and rightfully so. However, it hasn’t exactly gone to plan for this Jays team. In fact, would you be shocked to know that during the month of May, this offense has scored more runs than just two other teams? Only the Pirates and Tigers have scored fewer runs than the Blue Jays (75) this month. That means teams like the A's, Orioles, Nationals and others have outscored the Jays. It’s also a huge reason why Toronto has been one of the best teams in the league at hitting the under on its game total, doing so 60.5% of the time. The under is 26-17-1 for the Blue Jays.

Aside from that, we have a good pitching matchup set with Alek Manoah going for the Jays and Chase Silseth for the Angels. Manoah has been stellar with a 1.62 ERA backed by a 2.98 FIP. He’s been generating more contact thus far, but inducing ground balls 36% of the time. As for Silseth, he’s thrown just 10 1/3 innings but has allowed only three runs on seven hits with 10 strikeouts. With how poor this Jays offense has been, the under feels like the play.

Blue Jays at Angels
The wager: Alek Manoah under 5.5 strikeouts
Line: +120 (bet $100 to win $120)

On the surface, this feels like it’s going to be a tight one. The Angels are a team that strikes out often, doing so 24.7% of the time, which is the fifth highest in the league. However, Manoah has recently faced teams that are also striking out at a high rate and he hasn’t hit this number. In two of his last three starts, Manoah faced the Rays and Reds, both teams that are in the top 10 when it comes to K%. Manoah couldn't get to 5.5, striking out four in both games.

As mentioned early, Manoah is generating more contact in his second year in the Majors. He’s striking out less than a batter an inning and has a 7.7 K/9 through 50 innings. While it’s working in his favor, it’s another reason I like taking the under on this bet. With a very tough lineup to face off the bat that includes Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout and Jared Walsh, I think Manoah is slated for under 5.5 strikeouts.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

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