Betts to the Pirates? Redrafting the 2011 class
Scouts can sense when a Draft might be special, and they had that inkling about the 2011 crop early on. They viewed it as the best class since 2005, which sent 26 of its 30 first-rounders to the big leagues and featured stars such as Ryan Braun, Andrew McCutchen and Troy Tulowitzki.
Looking back 10 years later, scouts were correct about the 2011 group. The first 29 players selected and 30 of 33 first-rounders have played in the Majors, including Gerrit Cole, Francisco Lindor, Anthony Rendon and George Springer. The two biggest gems didn't even go in the first round -- fifth-rounder Mookie Betts and supplemental first-rounder Trevor Story -- and by the time all is said and done, 2011 could rank among the five best Draft years ever.
At the time, 2011 was the most expensive Draft class ever. Teams surmised that limits on Draft bonuses were coming after the current Collective Bargaining agreement expired in December, so they moved to hoard as much talent as they could. Clubs collectively spent $228 million on bonuses and a total of $236 million in guarantees including big league contracts -- up from the previous records of $196 million and $202 million the year before -- including $132 million on bonuses and another $7 million in total guarantees on the day of the Aug. 15 signing deadline alone.
Below we plot out how teams would have drafted in 2011's first round if they knew then what they know now. Our redraft of the top 33 picks includes 14 actual first-rounders, an unusually high number, but also three players from rounds that no longer exist today. The Red Sox lead all clubs by having selected four retroactive first-rounders and their efforts paid off with the 2018 World Series championship.
For the purposes of this exercise, we only considered players who signed. Kyle Freeland (35th round, Phillies), Aaron Nola (22nd round, Blue Jays), Carlos Rodón (16th round, Brewers) and Trea Turner (20th round, Pirates) all turned down pro contracts and went in the upper half of the first round three years later.
1. Pirates: Mookie Betts, SS, Overton HS, Nashville, Tenn.
Actual pick: Gerrit Cole, RHP, UCLA ($8 million bonus). Betts: fifth round, Red Sox ($750,000 bonus).
The Red Sox loved Betts and projected him as a middle infielder who could hit .270 with 12 homers per season, and much of the industry viewed him as athletic but undersized and lacking a standout tool. So Boston waited until the fifth round and its eighth selection (No. 172 overall) to take a player who didn't hit his first professional homer until 2013, but was in the big leagues a year later and since has won two World Series rings, an MVP Award, four All-Star Game selections, four Silver Sluggers and five Gold Gloves. Betts signed for $750,000, the sixth-highest bonus the Sox handed out and $250,000 less than they offered eighth-rounder Senquez Golson, who never played pro baseball but eventually became an NFL second-round pick. The Pirates didn't exactly whiff by taking Cole, who signed for a record $8 million bonus that wasn't eclipsed until 2020 (and still stands as the most ever for a pitcher), though he didn't become truly dominant until he left Pittsburgh.
2. Mariners: Trevor Story, SS, Irving (Texas) HS
Actual pick: Danny Hultzen, LHP, Virginia ($8.5 million big league contract). Story: supplemental first round, Rockies ($915,000 bonus).
Scouts viewed Story as a potential five-tool shortstop, and while he had an aggressive approach, it's surprising he lasted 45 picks in retrospect. He has developed into a five-tool shortstop, becoming the first player ever to homer in each of his first four games, leading the National League in steals last year and playing quality defense. The Mariners reportedly were zeroing in on position players such as Rendon or Lindor before switching to Hultzen, who set Virginia career records for wins and strikeouts before signing a big league contract worth $8.5 million (at the time the fifth-largest Draft guarantee ever). But he tore his rotator cuff during his first full pro season and reached the Majors for just six games with the 2019 Cubs.
One of my editors asked me, why Story ahead of Cole in the redraft? I went back and forth but ultimately settled on Story because he's a complete player who contributes in every facet of the game. He's provided almost as much value as Cole despite arriving in the big leagues three years after him, and Story is also two years younger. When both their careers are finished, Story will have been a little better than Cole.
3. D-backs: Gerrit Cole, RHP, UCLA
Actual pick: Trevor Bauer, RHP, UCLA ($4.45 million big league contract). Cole: first round, No. 1, Pirates ($8 million bonus).
Relative to the time, Cole and Bauer were as hyped at UCLA as Jack Leiter and Kumar Rocker have been at Vanderbilt this spring. Cole was rated the better prospect but had a losing record (6-8, 3.31) for the Bruins, while Bauer won the Golden Spikes Award as the nation's top amateur and led NCAA Division I in strikeouts (205) and strikeout rate (13.4 per nine innings) while ranking third in victories (13-2) and ERA (1.25). Cole has had the better big league career with three All-Star selections, an ERA title and a strikeout crown, though Bauer narrowed the gap somewhat last year with a Cy Young Award and an ERA title of his own. Unconventional even then, Bauer reached Arizona 11 months after signing a $4.45 million big league contract -- making him the first 2011 draftee to play in the Majors -- but quickly wore out his welcome and was traded in December 2012.
4. Orioles: Anthony Rendon, 3B, Rice
Actual pick: Dylan Bundy, RHP, Owasso (Okla.) HS ($6.25 million big league contract). Rendon: first round, No. 6, Nationals ($7.2 million big league contract).
Rendon entered the year as the favorite to go No. 1 overall and still was clearly the best college bat available, but a strained throwing shoulder as a junior on the heels of ankle injuries the previous two years clouded his status a bit. He lasted six picks to the Nationals and signed a $7.2 million big league contract, and since has accumulated more WAR (32.6 per Baseball Reference) than any 2011 draftee except Betts, while earning a World Series ring and a pair of Silver Sluggers. One of the more polished high school pitchers in recent memory, Bundy was considered the top arm in the Draft by some clubs and floated a reported $30 million asking price. He settled for a $6.25 million big league deal and debuted in Baltimore at age 19 before injuries sidelined him for most of 2013-15. After middling success with the Orioles, he has thrived since a trade to the Angels in December 2019.
5. Royals: Francisco Lindor, SS, Montverde (Fla.) Academy
Actual pick: Bubba Starling, OF, Gardner-Edgerton HS, Gardner, Kan. ($7.5 million bonus). Lindor: first round, No. 8, Indians ($2.9 million bonus).
The Royals hoped for any of the four pitchers who went ahead of them, and their fallback was taking the first high school position player. The best choice would have been Lindor, who was in Kansas City's mix while universally recognized for his defensive brilliance but underestimated for his eventual offense impact. He totaled 19 homers in three full Minor League seasons, yet has averaged 30 in four full years in the big leagues while accumulating four All-Star berths, two Gold Gloves and two Silver Sluggers. The Draft's best athlete, Starling parlayed the leverage of a scholarship to play quarterback at Nebraska into a $7.5 million bonus (then a record for a position player), but worries about his bat that arose on the high school showcase circuit proved real. He has hit .204/.246/.298 in just 261 plate appearances with the Royals.
6. Nationals: George Springer, OF, Connecticut
Actual pick: Rendon ($7.2 million big league contract). Springer: first round, No. 11, Astros ($2,525,000 bonus).
Like Starling, Springer also came with some swing-and-miss concerns, which is why the Draft's top college athlete fell to the Astros at No. 11. He has made more than enough contact to garner a World Series MVP award and World Series ring, three All-Star Game appearances and two Silver Sluggers. Connecticut produced two first-rounders and a second-rounder in 2011, and all three made our redraft.
7. D-backs: Trevor Bauer, RHP, UCLA
(compensation for failure to sign 2010 first-rounder Barret Loux)
Actual pick: Archie Bradley, RHP, Broken Arrow (Okla.) HS ($5 million bonus). Bauer: first round, No. 3, Diamondbacks ($4.45 million big league contract).
The state of Oklahoma had its best prep pitching crop ever with Bundy, Bradley, Mets supplemental first-rounder Michael Fulmer and Astros second-rounder Adrian Houser. Also a quarterback prospect with a football scholarship from Oklahoma, Bradley hit 101 mph on the scoreboard radar gun while beating Bundy's nationally No. 1-ranked Owasso team with a 14-strikeout shutout in the state 6-A championship game (but not Bundy, who had pitched in the quarterfinals two days earlier). The first team ever with two of the top seven picks in the same Draft, the D-backs signed Bradley for $5 million and watched him develop into a high-leverage reliever. There was no love lost between Cole and Bauer, so it would have been interesting to see them as pro teammates in this redraft.
8. Indians: Javier Báez, SS, Arlington County Day HS, Jacksonville, Fla.
Actual pick: Lindor ($2.9 million bonus). Baez: first round, No. 9, Cubs ($2,625,000 bonus).
It won't shock you to hear that Báez had the best bat speed in the 2011 Draft and played with a lot of flair, though it may surprise you that scouts considered him the best pure hitter in the high school class. He still has a lightning-fast bat and a lot of moxie, and he has proven a better defender at shortstop than anticipated, winning a Gold Glove to go with a World Series ring, a National League Championship Series MVP award, a Silver Slugger and two All-Star nods.
9. Cubs: Marcus Semien, SS, California
Actual pick: Báez ($2,625,000 bonus). Semien: sixth round, White Sox ($130,000 bonus).
Semien helped lead California to the 2010 College World Series but slumped as a junior, which is why he lasted until the sixth round. The White Sox thought he had room for offensive growth and were correct, though they never really gave him a chance to play every day and deployed him mostly at third base before including him in a trade for Jeff Samardzija with the Athletics in December 2014. In his last full season, he hit 33 homers and finished third in the American League MVP voting in 2019.
10. Padres: Kyle Hendricks, RHP, Dartmouth
(compensation for failure to sign 2010 first-rounder Karsten Whitson)
Actual pick: Cory Spangenberg, 2B, Indian River (Fla.) CC ($1,863,000 bonus). Hendricks: eighth round, Rangers ($125,000 bonus).
A control-oriented starter with pedestrian stuff at Dartmouth, Hendricks went in the eighth round and never drew much attention as a top prospect, even in pro ball. Sent to the Cubs as part of a 2012 trade for Ryan Dempster, he has been a mainstay in Chicago's rotation since 2014 and won a World Series championship and ERA title in 2016. One of just five first-rounders to accept a slot bonus in 2011's first round -- back then, MLB unilaterally set the pick values and did so below market value -- Spangenberg spent six years in the Majors before joining Japan's Saitama Seibu Lions.
11. Astros: Jackie Bradley Jr., OF, South Carolina
Actual pick: Springer ($2,525,000 bonus). Bradley: supplemental first round, Red Sox ($1.1 million bonus).
The Red Sox rated Bradley as a top-five choice before the season and didn't think the reigning College World Series MVP would get to their first selection at No. 19. The scouting reports on him were accurate -- outstanding defender in center field, productive but streaky at the plate -- but he missed half of the regular season with a left wrist injury, tried to do too much when he returned and had troubled adjusting to the new college bats, which had been toned down significantly after NCAA rule changes. He hit just .247 with six homers as South Carolina repeated as national champion and slid to the No. 40 pick, a bargain for a future AL Championship Series MVP, All-Star and Gold Glover.
12. Brewers: Kolten Wong, 2B, Hawaii
Actual pick: Taylor Jungmann, RHP, Texas ($2,525,000 bonus). Wong: first round, No. 22, Cardinals ($1.3 million bonus).
Wong helped his cause by winning the Cape Cod League MVP award in 2010, and scouts pegged him correctly as a line-drive hitter with good instincts on the bases and a quality glove at second base. He was playing in the World Series two years after turning pro and has won Gold Gloves in each of the last two seasons. Jungmann dominated in college at Texas and looked like a polished pitcher who would advance quickly, but his stuff leveled off soon after he signed and he won just nine games in parts of three seasons with the Brewers.
13. Mets: Sonny Gray, RHP, Vanderbilt
Actual pick: Brandon Nimmo, OF, East HS, Cheyenne, Wyo. ($2.1 million bonus). Gray: first round, No. 18, Athletics ($1.54 million bonus).
Making up for his lack of size with quality stuff and competitiveness, Gray led Vanderbilt to its first-ever College World Series appearance in 2011. Yet another first-rounder made good, he was starring in the AL playoffs two years later and has made All-Star appearances in both leagues. The only player ever drafted out of Wyoming in the top two rounds, Nimmo needed seven years to carve out a regular role with the Mets but has been an on-base machine ever since.
14. Marlins: Blake Snell, LHP, Shorewood HS, Shoreline, Wash.
Actual pick: Jose Fernandez, RHP, Alonso HS, Tampa ($2 million bonus). Snell: supplemental first round, Rays ($684,000 bonus).
The Rays had a record 10 picks before the second round of the 2011 Draft, but they squandered that opportunity by turning them into just four big leaguers and only one of long-term value. That one was Snell, their seventh choice (No. 52 overall), a projectable prep left-hander who developed into a Cy Young Award winner and ERA champion in 2018 and a postseason hero in 2020. A Cuban defector made for the Miami market, Fernandez burst onto the big league scene just two years later and starred for four seasons before his death in 2016. In light of that, we decided not to include him in this redraft. If not for that tragedy, he'd probably rank near the top because he had outpitched Cole to that point despite being two years younger.
15. Brewers: Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Hart HS, Santa Clarita, Calif.
(compensation for failure to sign 2010 first-rounder Dylan Covey)
Actual pick: Jed Bradley, LHP, Georgia Tech ($2 million bonus). Glasnow: fifth round, Pirates ($600,000 bonus).
Glasnow came from the same high school as Bauer, though they didn't overlap at Hart because the latter graduated early to enroll at UCLA. The Pirates loved to invest in athletic, projectable arms back then and Glasnow fit that bill, giving up a Portland scholarship to sign for supplemental first-round money ($600,000) in the fifth. He struggled to harness his stuff in Pittsburgh but is starting to blossom into a star with the Rays, who stole him in the July 2018 Chris Archer trade. Bradley fell out of the top 10 when he began to falter in the month before the Draft, foreshadowing struggles in a pro career that included just seven big league innings with the 2016 Braves.
16. Dodgers: Brandon Nimmo, OF, East HS, Cheyenne, Wyo.
Actual pick: Chris Reed, LHP, Stanford ($1,589,000 bonus). Nimmo: first round, No. 13, Mets ($2.1 million bonus).
The Dodgers tried to turn Stanford closer Reed into a starter, but blister problems and control woes stagnated his development and limited his big league career to four innings with the 2015 Marlins.
17. Angels: Joe Musgrove, RHP, Grossmont HS, El Cajon, Calif.
Actual pick: C.J. Cron, 1B, Utah ($1,467,000 bonus). Musgrove: supplemental first round, Blue Jays ($500,000 bonus).
The Blue Jays went just 1-for-5 with their bounty of picks before the second round, signing Musgrove for a well below-slot $500,000 at No. 46 overall. Traded to the Astros a year later as part of a 10-player J.A. Happ deal, he dealt with injuries and didn't reach full-season ball until 2015. Though he contributed to the Astros' 2017 World Series championship, he didn't start developing into a difference-making starter until 2020 and made a statement this season with a no-hitter in his second start. The Angels got pretty much what they expected out of Cron, a one-tool guy rated as the best power hitter in the college class after leading NCAA Division I in slugging (.803).
18. Athletics: Dylan Bundy, RHP, Owasso (Okla.) HS
Actual pick: Gray ($1.54 million bonus). Bundy: first round, No. 4, Orioles ($6.25 million big league contract).
Bundy and Gray are detailed above.
19. Red Sox: Mike Clevinger, RHP, Seminole (Fla.) CC
(from Tigers as compensation for free agent Victor Martinez)
Actual pick: Matt Barnes, RHP, Connecticut ($1.5 million bonus). Clevinger: fourth round, Angels ($250,000 bonus).
Clevinger began his college career at The Citadel before transferring to Seminole CC and sealed a $250,000 deal with the Angels with a strong summer in the Cape Cod League after getting drafted. He needed Tommy John surgery eight starts into his first full pro season but recovered to develop into a quality starter before re-injuring his elbow last summer and requiring a second reconstruction in November. Barnes signed for $1.5 million after starring at Connecticut, as well as in the Cape League and with Team USA, projecting as a mid-rotation starter. He became a reliever instead, playing a key role as the Red Sox won the World Series in 2018 and emerging as their closer the last two seasons.
20. Rockies: Kevin Pillar, OF, Cal State Dominguez Hills
Actual pick: Tyler Anderson, LHP, Oregon ($1.4 million bonus). Pillar: 32nd round, Blue Jays ($1,000 bonus).
The least expensive player in this redraft, Pillar went 979th overall and signed for $1,000 despite setting an NCAA Division II record with a 54-game hitting streak in 2010 and batting .367 in four seasons at Cal State Dominguez Hills. He quickly stood out as a pro, hitting .347 in his debut and winning the Low-A Midwest League MVP award in his first full season, a prelude to a big league career as a reliable hitter with decent power and outstanding center-field defense. Anderson set records for strikeouts in a game, season and career at Oregon. When healthy, he has been the serviceable left-hander that scouts envisioned, but he has battled hernia, shoulder and elbow issues in the Minors and knee problems in the Majors.
21. Blue Jays: Nick Ahmed, SS, Connecticut
Actual pick: Tyler Beede, RHP, Lawrence Academy, Groton, Mass. (did not sign). Ahmed: second round, Braves ($417,600 bonus).
One of the best defensive shortstops to come out of college baseball in the last decade, Ahmed also impressed clubs with a quick return from a collapsed lung sustained in a collision at first base. He has won two Gold Gloves and while he's not much of a threat at the plate, he did hit 35 homers in 2018-19 after going deep just eight times in three college seasons. Beede reportedly wanted $3.5 million and the Blue Jays held firm at $2.4 million, making him 2011's lone unsigned first-rounder. He won a College World Series at Vanderbilt and became the 18th player taken in two different first rounds when the Giants selected him at No. 14 in 2014, but he didn't crack San Francisco's rotation until 2019 and had Tommy John surgery last year.
22. Cardinals: Chris Bassitt, RHP, Akron
Actual pick: Wong ($1.3 million bonus). Bassitt: 16th round, White Sox ($50,000 bonus).
Like Semien, Bassitt was a later-round White Sox pick who exceeded expectations after going to the A's in the Samardzija trade. Teams didn't get a long look at Bassitt, who pitched just 70 2/3 innings in four years at Akron, redshirting one season and sitting out another to focus on academics. He never started a game for the Zips but has been a dependable member of Oakland's rotation the last three seasons.
23. Nationals: Zach Davies, RHP, Mesquite HS, Gilbert, Ariz.
(from White Sox as compensation for free agent Adam Dunn)
Actual pick: Alex Meyer, RHP, Kentucky ($2 million bonus). Davies: 26th round, Orioles ($575,000 bonus).
Davies plummeted in the Draft because teams thought he was a lock to attend Arizona State, but the Orioles took a 26th-round flier on him and signed him at the deadline for $575,000, the equivalent of early second-round money. As a smaller finesse righty, he never earned much hype as a prospect but has been a steady big league starter since the end of 2015. Meyer turned down $2 million as a Red Sox 20th-rounder out of high school in 2008 and got the same amount from the Nationals three years later. Traded to the Twins for Denard Span in 2012, Meyer battled repeated shoulder problems and won just five games in parts of three big league seasons before retiring in mid-2019.
24. Rays: James McCann, C, Arkansas
(from Red Sox as compensation for free agent Carl Crawford)
Actual pick: Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Spring Valley HS, Columbia, S.C. ($1.6 million bonus). McCann: second round, Tigers ($577,900 bonus).
McCann has lived up to his scouting reports as a solid defender behind the plate, and a mid-career offensive surge with the White Sox made him an All-Star in 2019 and earned him a $40.6 million free-agent contract from the Mets last offseason. Guerrieri had a big arm and also big makeup concerns, and he has made just 29 relief appearances in the Majors.
25. Padres: C.J. Cron, 1B, Utah
Actual pick: Joe Ross, RHP, Bishop O'Dowd HS, Oakland ($2.75 million bonus). Cron: first round, No. 17, Angels ($1,467,000 bonus).
Ross landed the 12th-highest bonus in the Draft at $2.75 million and has contributed to three playoff teams with the Nationals, including the 2019 World Series champions, but has had difficulty staying healthy.
26. Red Sox: Anthony DeSclafani, RHP, Florida
(from Rangers as compensation for free agent Adrian Beltre)
Actual pick: Blake Swihart, C, Cleveland HS, Rio Rancho, N.M. ($2.5 million bonus). DeSclafani: sixth round, Blue Jays ($250,000 bonus).
One of three clubs with three or more actual picks in this redraft, the Blue Jays gave DeSclafani third-round money ($250,000) in the sixth round and immediately moved him from the bullpen to the rotation. He has been a reliable big league starter since 2015, though he missed much of two years with elbow problems. Swihart had a Buster Posey starter kit of tools behind the plate and annually ranked among baseball's best prospects before having a solid rookie season in 2015. But his career took a severe downturn after he injured his ankle when he slid into the wall trying to make a catch while playing left field the following June.
27. Reds: Travis Shaw, 3B, Kent State
Actual pick: Robert Stephenson, RHP, Alhambra (Calif.) HS ($2 million bonus). Shaw: ninth round, Red Sox ($110,000 bonus).
Scouts questioned Shaw's bat speed and ability to play third base, which is why he lasted until the ninth round, but he has hit 110 homers in the big leagues and gotten the job done at the hot corner. Now with the Rockies, Stephenson was a hard-throwing high schooler who never harnessed his stuff as a starter but has found his niche as a reliever.
28. Braves: Seth Lugo, RHP, Centenary
Actual pick: Sean Gilmartin, LHP, Florida State ($1,134,000 bonus). Lugo: 34th round, Mets ($20,000 bonus).
The lowest choice (1,032nd overall) in our redraft, Lugo posted a 5.57 ERA in Centenary's final season in NCAA Division I but impressed the Mets at a predraft workout and signed for $20,000. He missed all of 2012 following spinal fusion surgery yet completed his longshot climb to New York in 2016 and has been solid in multiple roles since. A finesse lefty viewed as having a high floor, Gilmartin has pitched just 112 innings in the Majors over the last six seasons.
29. Giants: Matt Barnes, RHP, Connecticut
Actual pick: Joe Panik, SS, St. John's ($1,116,000 bonus). Barnes: first round, No. 19, Red Sox ($1.5 million bonus).
Viewed as more of a third-round talent by most clubs, Panik rewarded the Giants' faith in him by earning a World Series ring, an All-Star berth and a Gold Glove.
30. Twins: Tyler Anderson, LHP, Oregon
Actual pick: Levi Michael, SS, North Carolina ($1,175,000 bonus). Anderson: first round, No. 20, Rockies ($1.4 million bonus).
Michael suffered multiple lower-body injuries as a junior at North Carolina and never showed the same athleticism in pro ball that he did in college. He last appeared in a game in 2019 and is the highest-drafted player from 2011 to not make the Majors.
31. Rays: Josh Bell, OF, Jesuit Prep, Dallas
(from Yankees as compensation for free agent Rafael Soriano)
Actual pick: Mikie Mahtook, OF, Louisiana State ($1.15 million bonus). Bell: second round, Pirates ($5 million bonus).
The Pirates, one of three teams with three or more players in this redraft, were as aggressive as any club back when there were no restrictions on Draft spending. Their $17,005,700 outlay in 2011 smashed the old team bonus record by more than $5 million and has been eclipsed just twice since. Bell was considered the best all-around high school hitter in the Draft and its most unsignable player, as his mother was a college professor who wanted him to attend college at Texas and had him write a letter to the Major League Scouting Bureau stating that he wouldn't turn pro. Teams weren't even sure if he'd sign if offered an unprecedented eight-figure bonus, but Pittsburgh gambled a second-round pick on him and signed him for $5 million, still the record for outside the first round. He hasn't become a superstar but was an All-Star in 2019, when he hit 37 homers. Mahtook starred for three years at LSU and helped spark the Tigers to the 2009 College World Series championship, but he never showed the ability to drive the ball consistently as a pro. He's a career .235/.292/.405 hitter in 291 big league games -- which makes him the Rays' second-best pick among their 10 before the second round.
32. Rays: Ken Giles, RHP, Yavapai (Ariz.) JC
Actual pick: Jake Hager, SS, Sierra Vista HS, Las Vegas ($963,000 bonus). Giles: seventh round, Phillies ($250,000 bonus).
After missing his high school senior season with tendinitis in his elbow and working just 11 innings as a New Mexico JC freshman, Giles transferred to Yavapai and started throwing upper-90s fastballs and upper-80s sliders. He landed third-round money ($250,000) in the seventh round and has picked up 115 saves and a World Series ring with the 2017 Astros. Hager's hustle stood out more than any of his individual tools, and he's still plugging away in Triple-A in search of his first big league callup.
33. Rangers: Brad Miller, SS, Clemson
(from Phillies as compensation for free agent Cliff Lee)
Actual pick: Kevin Matthews, LHP, Richmond Hill (Ga.) HS ($936,000 bonus). Miller: second round, Mariners ($750,000 bonus).
The 2011 Atlantic Coast Conference player of the year, Miller was a bat-first shortstop who came with questions about his defensive ability, and he has lived up to that reputation during his nine seasons in the Majors, highlighted by a 30-homer season with the Rays in 2016. Matthews was a surprise first-rounder who most teams rated as a third-round talent, and he developed control issues and shoulder problems almost immediately as a pro and wound up pitching just 156 2/3 innings in the Minors.