Here are 5 wise wagers for tonight's games

September 20th, 2022

This article was contributed by DraftKings. For more sports betting insights, check out DraftKings.

We’re focusing primarily on moneyline bets available on DraftKings Sportsbook this Tuesday, but there are a couple props that stand out, too.

Follow along on Twitter (@Nick_Friar) for updates.

Yankees vs. Pirates
The wager: Nestor Cortes over 5.5 strikeouts
Line: -110 (Bet $110 to win $100)

Left-handed pitchers may be Pittsburgh’s preferred matchup at the moment (.171 ISO), but they’re still striking out a lot against them. Since the start of September, they have an absurd 34.8% strikeout rate against lefties. That number only gets worse when you shift the focus to the road (38.5%). While Cortes isn’t hammering the over on this number like he did earlier in 2022, he’s shown he can still punch out six-plus in the correct matchup. And while no two lefties are the same, -- who’s far less of a strikeout pitcher -- getting four punchouts on just 82 pitches is a promising sign for Cortes on Tuesday.

Cubs at Marlins
The wager: Cubs moneyline
Line: +130 (Bet $100 to win $130)

The Marlins are a decent 19-16 as home favorites, but that does not at all indicate they’re a team Chicago can’t handle on Tuesday. In fact, the Marlins winning Monday’s meeting shifts things a little bit in the Cubs’ favor. Following a win, Miami is 24-36 this season.

Now, the Cubs aren’t a lock after a loss themselves, but this lineup managed to handle well the last time they saw him. Although the Cubs’ lost ’s outing in that early August series, the right-hander logged a quality start vs. Miami. Given Sampson has largely maintained that level of play since he last saw the Marlins and López has been very up and down, the Cubs have a good chance to snap their ongoing three-game skid.

Rangers at Angels
The wager: Adolis García 2+ total bases and Ranger over 0.5 runs
Line: +145 (Bet $100 to win $145)

García only has a .192 average against left-handed pitching this month. While he is striking out against lefties a bit, 16.7% isn’t an overwhelming number. His low average has more been the result of bad luck, with his .158 BABIP within the split serving as evidence.

hasn’t given up a lot of flies to right-handed hitters over his last five starts, but they are hitting a lot of line drives (25%). Garcia is also getting the ball airborne often against left-handers, and that’s helped lead to an absurd .308 ISO against them this month. That power is all we need for this play to hit -- García’s straight up total bases prop is set at 0.5 with a low payout, which is why we’re tacking on the Rangers to score a run via DraftKings Sportsbook’s Same Game Parlay function.

Mets at Brewers
The wager: Mets moneyline
Line: -120 (Bet $120 to win $100)

The Mets haven’t been particularly tough on right-handed pitching this month. However, they just got to for five runs. While the Milwaukee right-hander hasn’t been the same pitcher he was in 2021, achieving that level of production against him is no small feat. So, is likely to have a tough return from the injured list.

Regardless of how he performs, Ashby’s outing is expected to be short. If this turns into a bullpen day, that also plays into New York’s hand. Since the start of September, Brewers relievers have combined for a 3.99 ERA and 4.04 FIP.

Lastly, the Mets will turn to on Tuesday. Outside of a two-game rough patch, he’s dealt post-All-Star break. The Brewers have posted good power numbers against right-handed pitching since the start of September, but Carrasco has found ways to handle challenging lineups throughout this strong run.

Cardinals at Padres
The wager: Cardinals moneyline
Line: -105 (Bet $105 to win $100)

Although the Cards are slight underdogs on the moneyline, the Padres are actually the run line dogs on DraftKings Sportsbook. That hasn’t been a common occurrence for San Diego this year, only having played 10 games at Petco Park as underdogs throughout 2022. They’re only 4-6 in that scenario, but that’s too small a sample size to consider.

What’s not is St. Louis’ play as road favorites. The Cardinals, who come in off a loss -- a scenario in which they thrive -- are 24-14 straight-up when favored on the run line away from St. Louis.

It’s well-documented prefers to pitch at home. But, the right-hander has still been serviceable outside of Busch Stadium. More importantly, the St. Louis offense has been thriving against righties on the road this month. Since the start of September, the Cardinals have a .220 ISO and 13.8% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching on the road.

As much as the Padres aren’t striking out much against right-handers in San Diego this month, they only have a .133 ISO within the split. does his best pitching at home, but he’s also not anything overwhelming. In fact, he has struggled quite a bit in September, giving up 15 runs across 13 1/3 innings.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

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