Inbox: Which Miami prospects are worth a look?

Beat reporter Joe Frisaro answers questions from fans

April 8th, 2019

I live in Naples and plan on catching a few Jupiter Hammerhead games in Fort Myers this year. Which Class A Advanced players should I be keen to watch play when they come to town?
-- @MatontiOnTheRox

Miami’s Class A Advanced Jupiter team has the most compelling rotation -- top to bottom -- in its system. All five in the rotation are considered future big leaguers -- Trevor Rogers, Edward Cabrera, Braxton Garrett, Jordan Holloway and Will Stewart. A left-hander, Stewart was part of the J.T. Realmuto trade with the Phillies.

On the position player side, outfielder Victor Victor Mesa, Miami’s No. 2 prospect and the overall No. 97 prospect according to MLB Pipeline, is someone to watch. Mesa defected with his 18-year-old brother, Victor Mesa Jr., last May and they both signed with Miami in October. Shortstop Jose Devers, part of the Giancarlo Stanton trade with the Yankees, is another prospect who projects to reach the big leagues in the next few seasons.

Do you think the Marlins would release Wei-Yin Chen by July 31?
-- @Shaun285

Cutting ties with Chen is not as easy as simply releasing the 33-year-old left-hander. Foremost, Chen is making $20 million this season, and $22 million in 2020. So if the Marlins just release him, they are still on the hook for the remainder of his contract.

Yes, it would free up a 40-man roster space, but first, the Marlins should exhaust every possible alternative. Chen can add value by logging valuable innings, and making some starts, which would assist in managing the innings of the younger pitchers.

Since Spring Training, the Marlins have had discussions with clubs about their controllable relievers, like Adam Conley and Drew Steckenrider. Miami has explored attaching Chen to any possible deal for either of them, and others. Look for that type of situation to resurface as we get closer to the July 31 Trade Deadline. Even if another club picked up as much as, say, $10 million of Chen’s remaining salary, that means Miami would have that money to spend elsewhere.

Since Caleb Smith is coming off surgery, will he be on an innings limit at all this season?
-- @VikMarlins

The Marlins haven’t given a definitive innings plan or range, but clearly the left-hander will be closely monitored. Smith had surgery to repair a torn left lat muscle last July 9, and he finished last year with 77 1/3 innings. A rough guess is the 27-year-old could end up throwing about 130 innings. The most innings Smith has logged is 135 in the Minor Leagues in 2015. To Smith’s credit, he’s recovered nicely from the surgery, and proved he was healthy and deserving of making the Opening Day rotation.

Do you think the Marlins would consider negotiating a deal involving Jose Urena? With a lot of young pitching prospects in their Minor Leagues, what are his chances of staying a key part of the rebuild?
-- @GabeSolorzano

Urena is in his first year of arbitration, and he is making $3.2 million this season. The fact that he has two more years of arbitration before qualifying for free agency in 2022 eliminates any urgency the Marlins have to offer a contract extension. Yes, the rotation is promising with Trevor Richards, Pablo Lopez, Sandy Alcantara and Smith all a year removed from being rookies. And Nick Neidert, Zac Gallen, Jordan Yamamoto, Jorge Guzman and more are developing in the pipeline.

Having rotation depth is important, but it doesn’t necessarily change the club’s thinking on whether to offer Urena an extension, and buying out a year or more of his free-agent seasons. Typically, extension candidates are All-Star-caliber players. Urena has certainly been a workhorse for the Marlins -- logging a team-high 174 innings in 2018. But he hasn’t shown to be or project to be at an All-Star level.

I actually expect Urena to be a trade candidate by the Deadline.

We are two months from the MLB Draft. Hearing any rumblings?
-- @Noahdevine

The Marlins have the fourth overall pick, so they are primed to take a future All-Star-caliber player. It appears they will go with a position player. A name getting a lot of attention and being linked to Miami is shortstop CJ Abrams from Blessed Trinity Catholic High School in Roswell, Ga. A left-handed hitter, Abrams is a University of Alabama commit, but he is expected to go pro. The Marlins put a premium on athleticism and like middle-of-the-field players, and Abrams checks off many boxes. Outfielder Riley Greene from Hagerty High School in Oviedo, Fla., is another advanced prep hitter.

The Orioles have the top pick, followed by the Royals, White Sox and Marlins. Catcher Adley Rutschman from Oregon State University, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. from Colleyville Heritage (Texas) High School and first baseman Andrew Vaughn from the University of California, all have been mentioned in the top three or four spots.