Tribe looks to add to solid core of young talent

June 3rd, 2019

CLEVELAND -- Scott Barnsby now has a year of experience under his belt. Although he’s spent the last 20 years in the Tribe’s scouting department, it’s just his second season as the Indians’ director of amateur scouting. Last year, he and his team had to plan for four Day 1 picks of the MLB Draft, and he’s looking to learn from that experience to prepare for picks 24 and 63 tonight.

“It’s definitely easier when you get to this point of the year. You’re always still kind of stressed,” Barnsby said. “... We’re a pretty well-oiled machine and it’s a pretty similar process to what we’ve been doing for a while. Fortunately, I’ve been with the organization for a while. I can’t say it’s completely different. I try to stay a step ahead on some of the things I stumbled through last year, in terms of timing.”

The 2019 Draft will take place tonight through Wednesday, beginning with tonight's Draft preview show on MLB Network and MLB.com at 6 ET. MLB Network will broadcast the first 41 picks (Round 1 and Competitive Balance Round A), while MLB.com will stream all 78 picks on Day 1. MLB.com will also provide live pick-by-pick coverage of Rounds 3-10 on Day 2, beginning with a preview show at 12:30 p.m. ET. Then, Rounds 11-40 can be heard live on MLB.com on Day 3, beginning at noon ET.

Go to MLB.com/Draft to see the Top 200 Prospects list, mock drafts from MLB Pipeline analysts Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo, the complete order of selection and more. And follow @MLBDraft on Twitter to see what Draft hopefuls, clubs and experts are saying.

Here’s how the Draft is shaping up for the Indians, whose first selection is the 24th overall pick.

In about 50 words
If there’s any time to get excited about the Tribe’s younger talent, it’s this year. The Indians have been clear that they are ready to see what their prospects can do at the big league level, calling up Oscar Mercado and Zach Plesac already this season with expectations for others like Bobby Bradley or Daniel Johnson to eventually get their turn. As they continue to dip into their farm system, it’s integral to use the MLB Draft to keep building upon their solid foundation.

What they’re saying
“The No. 1 goal is to make sure that we haven’t overlooked anything,” Barnsby said. “We ended up having our crosscheckers coming in a little bit earlier so they can get back out and get some important looks down the stretch, with the SEC Tournament and the Big 12 and some of the main schools we still feel like we need to spend some time on. … I feel like, hopefully we haven’t overlooked anything. But you never know.

“There are some guys who make it and are really successful, and there are some guys who just don’t quite reach your ceiling. I’ve never known this organization to not assess the minute the draft is over, to figure out, to look back to last year, what we could’ve done differently, whether that’s summer coverage or anything that we could have done more productively in the fall or whether it’s how we cover the spring. We’ll continue to do that.”

Who might they take?
The Indians will have some time before they can take their first name off the board, but Callis and Mayo have listed their predictions at who the Tribe could land with the 24th overall pick:

May 23: Michael Busch, 1B/OF, North Carolina
Speaking of college bats, that seems like a strong possibility here as well. A high school arm like Daniel Espino has been brought up if the Indians decide they don’t like any of the offensive possibilities.

May 17: Will Wilson, SS, North Carolina State
Cleveland also is a good bet for a college hitter, eyeing the same guys as the Rockies as well as Kody Hoese and Texas A&M shortstop Braden Shewmake.

May 9: Daniel Espino, RHP, Georgia Premier Academy (Statesboro, Ga.)
While there is some concern about his ultimate role because of his delivery and command, Espino might have the best fastball in the class to go along with a pair of very good breaking balls.

“This is a talented class, for sure,” Barnsby said. “I think there’s a lot of depth to the class. As far as players, I think there’s a group of players, a handful of guys who have separated themselves at the top. Who knows how that’s gonna play out? But beyond that group of guys, there’s a lot of talented guys. I couldn’t really pinpoint whether it’s more high school or college heavy. I think there’s some talented guys in both areas.”

Money matters
Under the Collective Bargaining Agreement, each team has an allotted bonus pool equal to the sum of the values of that club's selections in the first 10 rounds of the Draft. The more picks a team has, and the earlier it picks, the larger the pool. The signing bonuses for a team's selections in the first 10 rounds, plus any bonus greater than $125,000 for a player taken after the 10th round, will apply toward the bonus-pool total.

Any team going up to five percent over its allotted pool will be taxed at a 75-percent rate on the overage. A team that overspends by 5-10 percent gets a 75-percent tax plus the loss of a first-round pick. A team that goes 10-15 percent over its pool amount will be hit with a 100-percent penalty on the overage and the loss of a first- and second-round pick. Any overage of 15 percent or more gets a 100-percent tax plus the loss of first-round picks in the next two Drafts.

This year, the Indians have a pool of $6,148,100 to spend in the first 10 rounds, including $2,831,300 to spend on their first selection.

Shopping list
In recent years, the Indians have targeted position players in the Draft, finding a lot of their pitching talent through trades. Over the past eight Drafts, seven of Cleveland’s top picks have been position players. Based on the early mock Drafts, Callis and Mayo seem to be leaning toward the Tribe taking that same approach, selecting either shortstop Wilson or first baseman/outfielder Busch in the first round. However, a lot of it depends on how the first 23 picks play out. After seeing the recent success of homegrown pitchers like Shane Bieber and Plesac, the Indians could end up switching gears, and add to their pitching depth. Of the Tribe’s Top 30 prospects on MLB Pipeline, 10 are hurlers (with one left-hander).

Trend watch
If the Indians are following the same approach that they have executed the past few years, expect the club to eye high school players in the early rounds of the MLB Draft. Since 2011, when Lindor was Cleveland’s top pick out of Montverde Academy in Florida, the Indians have taken a prep star with five of their eight picks. In the last eight Drafts combined, 16 of the Indians’ 24 top three picks were selected out of high school. As the rounds go on, the club traditionally evens out, drafting an almost equal amount of college and high school players, with a slight lean toward the college-level athletes.

Recent top picks
2018: Bo Naylor, C, (Class A Lake County)
2017: Quentin Holmes, OF, (Lake County)
2016: Will Benson, OF, (Lake County)
2015: Brady Aiken, LHP, (Lake County)
2014: Bradley Zimmer, OF, (Indians -- currently recovering from right shoulder surgery)