Sizing up Mets' postseason awards chances

September 13th, 2022

This story was excerpted from Anthony DiComo's Mets Beat newsletter. To read the full newsletter, click here. And subscribe to get it regularly in your inbox.

Over the course of the season, the Mets have had plenty of standout individual performers, despite a campaign that’s been about far more than just one player. So which Mets have the best chance to take home some hardware after the season?

Here’s a look at where they stand in the running for five of MLB’s major postseason awards:

MVP
Most recent Mets winner: None
2022 chances: Slim

As has often been the case throughout their history, the Mets have no true MVP candidates this year. While it seemed for a while as if Pete Alonso might enter the conversation, his second-half slowdown has placed him well behind the likes of Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado and other top contenders. There’s still time for Alonso to make some noise and garner his share of down-ballot votes, but at the moment, he doesn’t appear primed to become the first National League MVP in franchise history.

If the season ended today, the Mets’ team MVP would probably be Francisco Lindor, who leads the club in both bWAR and fWAR (the versions calculated by Baseball Reference and FanGraphs). Although Lindor has derived much of that value from his shortstop defense, he’s given the Mets a reasonably productive season at the plate as well. It’s been a good season for Lindor, just not an MVP season.

Cy Young
Most recent Mets winner: Jacob deGrom, 2019
2022 chances: Unlikely

Normally, this would be deGrom’s domain, but his lack of innings -- merely 43 1/3 in seven starts -- will prevent him from making too much noise come awards season. deGrom could still garner down-ballot votes if he finishes with elite numbers over about a third of a season, but he won’t come close to qualifying for the ERA title and the extra support that tends to elicit. It’s a similar story for Max Scherzer, whose two trips to the injured list have limited him to 127 2/3 innings, with a maximum of three regular-season starts remaining.

The Mets’ most notable Cy Young case belongs to closer Edwin Díaz, who is vying to become the first reliever since Eric Gagne to win the award. Despite Díaz’s success, the odds remain heavily stacked against him for several reasons. But he’s a near-lock to receive at least some votes as the likely best closer in the league.

Rookie of the Year
Most recent Mets winner: Alonso, 2019
2022 chances: Zero

Not much to see here, especially since Brett Baty will miss most or all of the remaining season due to a thumb injury. Compared to other teams, the Mets haven’t received major contributions from rookies.

Reliever of the Year
Most recent Mets winner: None
2022 chances: Almost certain

Unlike the aforementioned honors, the Trevor Hoffman Reliever of the Year Award doesn’t utilize the Baseball Writers’ Association of America as its voting body. It’s newer but still plenty prestigious, and there’s no one more qualified to win it than Díaz.

I won’t bore you with the numbers on Díaz, who has been so dominant that he could wind up receiving Cy Young and even MVP votes. He’s already won three consecutive NL Reliever of the Month Awards. Barring a late misstep, the trumpets will almost certainly blow for Díaz, who previously won the Mariano Rivera Reliever of the Year Award in the American League in 2018. No Met has won the NL honor since its inception in 2014.

Manager of the Year
Most recent Mets winner: None
2022 chances: High

Now we’re coming to the portion of awards season that could see the Mets make significant noise. Historically speaking, the Manager of the Year Award tends to go to the skipper of a greatly improved team, rather than the head of a perennial contender. The Mets qualify in that regard.

More than that, Buck Showalter has garnered near universal praise for his handling of the club in his first season at the helm. Should the Mets win the division, Showalter will probably be the MOY frontrunner over Rob Thomson (who has done a nice job turning around the Phillies but had only managed part of the season), Dave Roberts (whose Dodgers seem to thrive every year) or Oli Marmol (whose Cardinals do the same).

If Showalter wins, it would be historic for the Mets, who are one of two teams (along with the Brewers) never to employ a Manager of the Year since the award’s inception in 1983.