He's never been an All-Star, but here's why he might be the best non-Skubal free agent

58 minutes ago

The best free-agent hitter -- perhaps the best non-Tarik Skubal free agent -- this offseason might just be someone who’s never been an All-Star or major award winner.

We’re talking about , who has quietly become one of baseball’s most consistent hitters in five years with the Cubs. He excelled again in 2026 with 26 home runs, 86 RBIs and an .841 OPS. He also posted his best defensive numbers yet (+7 Fielding Run Value), giving the right fielder one of the biggest walk-year boosts of any free agent.

The Cubs extended the qualifying offer to Suzuki, but he seems likely to land a longer deal. 

Here’s why Suzuki, entering his age-32 season, should be a popular name for teams seeking a splash this offseason.

Offensive consistency

Since Suzuki came to MLB from Nippon Professional Baseball in 2022, he has a 128 wRC+, tying him for 23rd among all Major Leaguers in that span. He’s just behind All-Stars like James Wood or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and narrowly ahead of Bobby Witt Jr. or Fernando Tatis Jr.

Suzuki hit 14 home runs with a .770 OPS in his debut in 2022, and in the four years since, he’s racked up at least 20 homers and 73 RBIs with an OPS no lower than .804. Suzuki will strike out (24.8% K rate), but he’s displayed an elite plate approach with a 21% chase rate and a 10.9% walk rate. He worked a career-high 81 walks this past season.

Maybe you’re thinking, “How has Suzuki never been an All-Star?” It’s partially because he tends to get better as the year goes on. Here are his career splits by month:

March/April: .291/.378/.524 (.902 OPS)

May: .241/.313/.424 (.737 OPS)

June: .245/.313/.450 (.763 OPS)

July: .263/.342/.464 (.806 OPS)

August: .279/.364/.473 (.837 OPS)

September-October: .295/.393/.508 (.901 OPS)

Accolades are nice, but they don’t fully show what Cubs fans came to expect from Suzuki. 2026’s slash line (.270/.368/.473) was in lockstep with his career marks (.269/.351/.472).

The market is thin, especially for right-handed bats:

The past few free-agent classes have featured names like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Juan Soto and Kyle Tucker. There simply isn’t a hitter of that caliber in this year’s group. That leaves a wide range of names, profiles, ages and positions to choose from for this year’s top free-agent hitter. But Suzuki is right in the thick of the conversation.

Perhaps you prefer the upside of 28-year-old NPB Triple Crown winner Teruaki Sato after his posting. Maybe you’d rather bet on Jazz Chisholm Jr. after a down year. Or Brandon Lowe after his second consecutive 30-homer season. There’s also Jake Bauers after a breakout for the World Series champs and Luis Arraez, perhaps the sport’s best contact hitter.

Here’s one catch: they’re all left-handed hitters. And right-handed sluggers are suddenly much less common than they once were.

So that leaves Suzuki, Randy Arozarena, Ryan Jeffers or maybe a resurgent Ty France as the best righties available. Jeffers is a catcher, which may boost his value to a team seeking a backstop, but he lacks the same offensive track record as Suzuki or Arozarena. France, an excellent defensive first baseman, tied Arozarena for the best 2026 OPS (.865) of the quartet, but that came after two seasons with a combined 90 OPS+.

Arozarena and Suzuki will likely be compared closely as they search for their next contracts. They’re both entering their age-32 seasons as corner outfielders. Suzuki’s offensive norm (.823 OPS) is better than Arozarena’s (.792 OPS), but the latter just finished a career year, his sixth with at least 20 homers and 20 steals. 

Neither are historically strong defenders, though Suzuki took a leap in that department in 2026, while Arozarena remained a net negative in the field. More on that here…

Defensive improvement

Suzuki won five Golden Gloves in Japan, NPB’s equivalent to a Gold Glove. But his defense didn’t translate to MLB right away. He posted negative-eight FRV through his first three seasons, including a couple of high-profile gaffes in which he dropped seemingly routine fly balls. Suzuki then lost time in right field in 2025, often serving as the designated hitter, as the Cubs slotted Kyle Tucker into their lineup.

Something clicked in 2026. Suzuki’s seven FRV and 14 Defensive Runs Saved led all National League right fielders. It earned him nomination as a Gold Glove finalist, though Corbin Carroll won the award after leading his peers with 10 Outs Above Average.

Suzuki’s improvement was largely due to vastly improved reaction time on plays in the outfield. His typically strong arm took another step forward, too, as he made a career-high eight outfield assists.

That could be a huge boost when compared to his free-agent contemporaries, in particular Arozarena, who was worth negative-seven FRV in 2026 and is at -32 in his career.

The case against:

There are two key questions teams must consider when evaluating Suzuki in free agency: Is the defensive improvement real, and are there underlying concerns in his bat?

The fact that Suzuki’s positive defensive metrics boil down to improved reaction time may inspire confidence that it’s a repeatable performance. It’s also worth noting that Wrigley Field doesn’t have the easiest right-field corner. But this is a player who was a below-average defender for four years, so it must be taken into account.

As for his bat, Suzuki’s raw numbers were rock solid in 2026. But under the hood, his hard-hit rate plummeted to 38.9%, just a tick above MLB average. He had a 48.6% hard-hit rate over the previous three years. His swing speed and plate approach were in line with his career averages last season, though, so perhaps it’s just a blip. But it’s worth monitoring.