Inbox: What prospects could debut in '20?

July 15th, 2020

Summer Camp has passed its halfway point, which makes this a great time to dig into another batch of questions and answers in an Orioles Inbox. Things on your mind include which prospects could make their debut this season, the alternate training site in Bowie, Md., the club's closer situation and the Summer Camp status of the club's 2020 Draft picks.

Thanks for the question, because I think this is one on the forefront of most Orioles fans minds right now. The short answer is: A few, but it'll probably be a smaller wave than if they were playing a full 162-game season. It should still include at least five of the club's Top 30 prospects: Austin Hays, Hunter Harvey, Ryan Mountcastle, Dean Kremer and Keegan Akin. Here's why:

I don't think there is any reason to justify holding Mountcastle back after his service-time requirements are fulfilled, which could happen roughly seven games into the regular season. Manager Brandon Hyde indicated this week Kremer would be in their plans at the big league level by season's end, and it stands to reason Akin could be as well given the full year he spent at Triple-A Norfolk in 2019. Hays and Harvey already debuted and are assured spots.

Besides that, I don't see the Orioles using player pool spots on more mid-tier prospects like Ryan McKenna or Mason McCoy, despite the fact that they would've been in Triple-A this season. And I don't think they will rush Adley Rutschman or Michael Baumann just for the heck of it. The most interesting case in my opinion is Yusniel Diaz, who is expected to be added to the player pool by the end of this week and is, developmentally, kind of right in the middle of those camps. He's a priority prospect but has yet to appear at Triple-A. I'm curious to see how the O's handle him this summer.

This remains a possibility. The Orioles still have seven spots open in their player pool, several of which are expected to be filled with prospects in the coming days and weeks. Some of this year's Draft picks are part of that equation according to general manager Mike Elias, meaning Heston Kjerstad, being the most highly touted of that bunch, could very well find himself in Bowie soon.

My understanding is it'll be open through the end of the regular season, though that hasn't been confirmed by any club officials. Intrasquad games are expected to begin shortly, as a way to both simulate some semblance of a regular Minor League season and to keep pitchers who could help the MLB club stretched out and ready. The staff on site is expected to include Norfolk manager Gary Kendall, Bowie manager Buck Britton and members of both their staffs.

Scrimmages, yes. Workouts, yes. Games against other teams, no. It'll be mostly intrasquad games, where it will be a lot of simulating game situations in an attempt to salvage as much development from this truncated season as they can. Is it ideal? No. But it's the best the Orioles and clubs around MLB can manage given the strange societal circumstances.

"We're going to try to match up starters down there to be able to cover us when needed, as well as develop," Hyde said. "We have young guys down there also, guys who haven't been in the big leagues yet, that we're going to continue their development. And the same with position players, try to keep them as game-ready as possible. That's not going to be easy, because you're not playing a normal season. So try to get as many at-bats as possible, try to make it game-like, try to get the game reps defensively also. I think we're going to be creative in how we do that down there."

I'll let this quote from pitching coach Doug Brocail earlier this week answer this question:

"We still don't know who is going to close," Brocail said. "I don't know if it's going to be Mychal [Givens] or if it's going to be Hunter [Harvey]. [I] don't know if we're going to mix. If there are lefties, hell, it could be [Richard] Bleier."

Translation: Nothing is set in stone at this point, and that is by design. It's also not so different from the way the Orioles approached the ninth inning last year, with Givens the closer by definition but also someone who entered in high-leverage situations regardless of inning.

Givens will be easier to deploy in that fashion with Harvey in the fold to start the year and more or less able to throw without restriction; but at the same time, the Orioles aren't just going to anoint Harvey the closer after seven career appearances. I expect a pseudo-closer-by-committee situation developing, with multiple relievers getting save chances depending on the situation.